inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 87 Excitement3.5 [1080] MVPMickael Gelabale (SEA): +9.6%
Seattle SuperSonics 99 Comeback1.0 [613] LVPBrandon Roy (POR): -10.1%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Travis Outlaw0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.160.020.101472%0.081-0.008100%0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.090.000.051372%0.093-0.05683%0.01
Raef LaFrentz-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00150%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Jarrett Jack-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00935%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Sergio Rodriguez-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Channing Frye-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00217%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Joel Przybilla-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01350%0.002-0.0420%-0.02
Martell Webster-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01525%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Steve Blake-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.140.00-0.051010%-0.081-0.0100%0.00
Brandon Roy-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.000.031943%-0.053-0.056100%0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mickael Gelabale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.00-0.01686%0.1010.002100%0.01
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.01679%0.072-0.002100%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.013100%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01954%0.0310.00667%-0.01
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.021350%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.031744%0.022-0.035100%0.02
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00750%-0.002-0.022100%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.011048%0.033-0.05367%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.02333%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.01425%-0.031-0.02425%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.531.014.828.42.632.2136.7
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +39.2%
POR -0.8%
SEA +7.5%
SEA +3.8%
SEA +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORSEANBAPORSEANBA
this game15.914.915.493.5105.3105.7
season16.714.5105.599.1
opponent15.015.4107.9106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR15.717.515.714.715.9
SEA15.012.714.318.014.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sergio Rodriguez55-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-111021.615.66.0313.815.0-1.18
Channing Frye1716-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-10814.416.2-1.8816.614.61.99
Martell Webster4037-0.12-0.380.26-0.213-151815.915.9-0.0316.214.12.19
Joel Przybilla6061-0.20-0.300.09-0.231-131415.716.2-0.4515.314.21.13
Raef LaFrentz1113-0.21-0.290.090.09-10-2-819.215.53.7311.615.4-3.83
Travis Outlaw5153-0.24-0.260.02-0.240-121215.716.1-0.4114.815.1-0.28
LaMarcus Aldridge6667-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.04-8-4-415.516.9-1.3514.416.3-1.89
Steve Blake5355-0.43-0.07-0.360.16-208-2816.914.52.4414.715.3-0.58
Jarrett Jack7475-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.08-120-1215.616.9-1.3314.715.6-0.83
Brandon Roy8888-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.13-11-1-1015.621.6-6.0315.112.03.11

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Wilcox67670.53-0.030.550.0317-52215.014.60.4515.716.5-0.79
Jeff Green56560.420.080.330.0313-11415.813.62.2015.616.4-0.81
Earl Watson52530.410.090.33-0.1419-72614.515.5-1.0116.315.40.86
Mickael Gelabale37360.280.220.060.0584416.214.12.1516.215.70.54
Johan Petro35340.280.220.06-0.071201215.014.80.1816.215.70.54
Damien Wilkins59570.240.26-0.020.18210-815.214.40.8215.416.7-1.31
Kevin Durant57570.220.28-0.060.1048-414.116.2-2.1515.716.2-0.54
Luke Ridnour42400.090.41-0.330.29-719-2615.514.51.0115.416.3-0.86
Nick Collison42430.060.44-0.380.18-416-2013.715.9-2.2616.615.31.24
Francisco Elson2322-0.020.52-0.540.10-416-2013.715.3-1.6116.915.61.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 103, ORL 1180.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,196.5%
TOR 102, MIL 1150.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,196.2%
NYK 80, CLE 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%