NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	96		Excitement	4.5 [916]		MVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): +12.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	1.2 [917]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (DET): -6.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	2	150%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.01	17	51%	0.01	1	-0.01	11	100%	0.02
Hubert Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05
Tayshaun Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	21	55%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.12	0.12	-0.03	0.12	-0.03	10	55%	0.16	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	82%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	23	59%	0.03	2	-0.02	12	58%	-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	10	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	18	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.6	27.3	15.7	25.8	1.7	34.3	130.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +31.1%

MIN +7.0%

MIN +2.8%

MIN +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIN	NBA	DET	MIN	NBA
this game	16.6	15.7	15.5	107.9	115.7	101.6
season	16.8	14.9		101.7	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.6		102.3	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.2	18.1	15.1	15.1	16.6
MIN	15.2	14.6	15.5	17.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-6	5	19.0	16.6	2.40	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Corliss Williamson	45	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.33	9	-16	25	16.2	17.1	-0.91	18.0	13.5	4.50
Hubert Davis	4	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-4	1	16.5	16.6	-0.14	12.0	15.9	-3.91
Mehmet Okur	30	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-8	9	16.3	16.8	-0.50	16.7	15.2	1.47
Jon Barry	31	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-9	11	14.7	17.7	-2.95	16.9	15.1	1.80
Tayshaun Prince	9	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	0	-7	18.3	16.4	1.90	9.1	16.4	-7.26
Michael Curry	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	3	-13	18.8	15.8	3.02	14.1	16.4	-2.34
Chucky Atkins	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	17.9	16.1	1.76	17.7	14.9	2.83
Chauncey Billups	62	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-5	3	16.1	17.9	-1.76	14.9	17.7	-2.83
Ben Wallace	82	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-8	9	16.3	20.9	-4.59	15.7	16.3	-0.60
Richard Hamilton	64	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	16.8	16.2	0.60	15.3	16.8	-1.43
Clifford Robinson	65	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.11	-15	8	-23	17.2	15.1	2.12	15.4	16.8	-1.42

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	73	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-6	19	15.1	18.8	-3.76	16.7	16.3	0.44
Anthony Peeler	66	66	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-6	19	15.2	17.3	-2.06	16.4	17.2	-0.79
Rasho Nesterovic	63	64	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	-3	13	15.7	15.9	-0.22	17.0	15.7	1.32
Troy Hudson	58	61	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	-2	11	16.0	15.3	0.68	17.2	15.3	1.96
Wally Szczerbiak	75	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	2	3	15.5	17.2	-1.76	16.6	16.7	-0.13
Mike Wilks	31	28	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	9	-11	15.3	16.0	-0.68	15.3	17.2	-1.96
Gary Trent	24	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	11	-15	18.5	14.7	3.85	17.7	16.2	1.53
Kendall Gill	32	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	12	-17	16.2	15.5	0.67	15.5	17.2	-1.76
Marc Jackson	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	11	-15	17.0	15.3	1.65	16.4	16.7	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 81, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.85,0.91,1	96.3%
SAC 89, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 86, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%