NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	81		Excitement	4.4 [919]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +16.9%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	1.1 [1076]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -11.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	73%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.07	-0.00	13	34%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	36%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.03,-0.03	0.08	-0.07	0.04	21	58%	0.05	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.09	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	23	49%	-0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	35%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	13	64%	0.18	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.05
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	16	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.06	18	44%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	-0.03	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.06
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	13	34%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	10	35%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.6	28.5	16.6	23.8	2.0	35.2	130.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +19.5%

NYK +2.4%

NYK +10.3%

NYK +17.2%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.3	86.2	93.6	106.0
season	14.7	14.7		101.9	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.2	16.8	11.1	13.4	14.5
NYK	15.5	13.2	17.0	18.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	12	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-4	1	17.7	14.1	3.58	13.2	16.6	-3.32
James Johnson	30	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-8	9	15.8	14.0	1.80	14.7	16.8	-2.04
Brad Miller	23	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	1	-9	17.2	13.7	3.48	16.7	15.9	0.79
Taj Gibson	65	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.44	8	-15	23	14.0	15.8	-1.86	16.0	16.3	-0.32
Kirk Hinrich	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-7	7	14.0	15.4	-1.41	16.5	15.5	0.97
John Salmons	51	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	5	-17	15.0	14.0	1.04	15.7	16.5	-0.80
Derrick Rose	70	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-2	-3	13.5	17.6	-4.08	16.3	15.4	0.95
Joakim Noah	77	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	13.9	17.6	-3.79	16.4	14.8	1.62
Luol Deng	83	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	5	-17	15.0	11.4	3.60	16.5	13.8	2.70

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-5	17	16.0	16.6	-0.60	14.3	15.6	-1.35
Jared Jeffries	66	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	0	7	16.0	16.3	-0.32	15.6	11.9	3.78
David Lee	83	84	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	6	-5	16.5	12.9	3.61	14.0	18.9	-4.88
Chris Duhon	74	74	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	5	-3	16.2	15.7	0.44	13.6	17.9	-4.26
Al Harrington	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	8	-9	16.6	15.1	1.44	14.3	15.0	-0.69
Danilo Gallinari	54	57	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	-2	11	16.4	15.6	0.78	14.5	14.6	-0.17
Larry Hughes	36	34	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	5	-3	15.1	16.7	-1.60	15.4	14.0	1.41
Jonathan Bender	17	15	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	4	-1	13.8	16.6	-2.85	17.5	14.0	3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.86,0.92,1	96.3%
CLE 79, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	96.0%
CHA 97, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	95.8%