NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	116		Excitement	4.3 [940]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +21.7%
Houston Rockets	140		Comeback	1.2 [1204]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -9.2%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.01	0.05	11	83%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	9	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	20	62%	0.16	5	-0.11	2	100%	-0.00
Austin Rivers	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	47%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.05	11	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	62%	-0.01	3	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	10	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.03	-0.05	15	77%	0.28	6	-0.06	9	89%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.06	0.01	7	100%	0.24	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.24	0.03	0.09	14	74%	0.18	0	0.00	11	82%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.05	11	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.04	9	71%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	71%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
KJ McDaniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Wiltjer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	10	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	34.7	14.6	29.0	1.8	29.5	137.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +19.2%

HOU +19.1%

HOU +2.9%

HOU +7.5%

HOU +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.3	12.4	14.8	112.6	133.3	107.7
season	15.0	13.7		110.8	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.1	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	15.5	13.5	16.6	15.3
HOU	11.4	12.2	12.7	13.4	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	54	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-26	28	14.8	15.9	-1.04	13.3	11.5	1.83
Luc Mbah a Moute	60	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.20	-9	-15	6	14.5	16.5	-1.98	12.1	12.8	-0.68
Wesley Johnson	51	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-23	22	14.8	15.8	-0.93	13.5	11.4	2.10
Brandon Bass	26	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.34	-19	-5	-14	16.7	14.9	1.80	12.8	12.3	0.51
Marreese Speights	43	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-23	22	14.8	15.6	-0.81	12.7	12.2	0.45
Austin Rivers	30	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-9	-6	17.0	14.6	2.43	12.2	12.5	-0.35
Alan Anderson	53	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.27	-20	-4	-16	15.7	14.9	0.84	12.3	12.5	-0.13
DeAndre Jordan	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	-10	-4	15.4	15.2	0.12	12.3	12.6	-0.35
Raymond Felton	69	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-12	0	14.8	16.3	-1.51	11.8	13.6	-1.83
Jamal Crawford	64	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.38	-31	7	-38	16.0	14.2	1.82	11.7	13.5	-1.84

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	53	53	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.47	41	-17	58	11.0	13.8	-2.81	16.7	13.9	2.82
Montrezl Harrell	66	64	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.51	39	-15	54	11.7	13.7	-2.04	16.5	13.4	3.14
Corey Brewer	34	35	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.49	28	-4	32	12.1	12.6	-0.48	17.4	14.2	3.16
Sam Dekker	38	37	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.16	16	8	8	13.1	12.0	1.09	17.3	14.2	3.14
Trevor Ariza	85	83	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.13	13	11	2	12.0	14.1	-2.09	14.7	17.8	-3.09
James Harden	77	74	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	25	-26	12.1	13.3	-1.19	14.3	17.9	-3.65
Ryan Anderson	53	53	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	26	-28	12.4	12.4	-0.06	13.8	17.0	-3.21
Patrick Beverley	71	71	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.13	7	17	-10	13.1	11.0	2.04	15.2	15.5	-0.32
KJ McDaniels	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	20.3	12.2	8.16	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Kyle Wiltjer	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	20.3	12.2	8.16	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Tyler Ennis	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	20.3	12.2	8.16	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Bobby Brown	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	20.3	12.2	8.16	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Nene	36	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.25	-13	37	-50	13.1	12.0	1.11	13.3	16.4	-3.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.6%
LAC 101, MIL 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
PHI 118, CLE 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	94.8%