NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	4.7 [850]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (CLE): +7.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	125		Comeback	1.2 [1187]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -10.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frankie King	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	52%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.04	6	53%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Mark Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.14,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.01	0.07	32	61%	0.09	9	-0.19	18	61%	-0.05
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	15	49%	-0.02	5	-0.08	11	91%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	14	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.03
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	17	60%	0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	7	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Mark West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	65%	0.01	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.02
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	67%	0.06	5	-0.08	10	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.7	29.2	15.5	28.3	2.5	47.2	151.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +27.0%

CLE +1.5%

CLE +7.4%

CLE +14.6%

PHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.5	15.5	15.6	120.4	123.8	104.4
season	14.7	17.8		101.4	102.1
opponent	16.1	14.7		100.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	14.6	14.6	11.0	13.5
CLE	16.4	15.4	17.3	13.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bradtke	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	6.0	13.5	-7.54	16.0	15.4	0.55
Adrian Caldwell	7	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	0	-7	12.4	13.5	-1.11	13.0	15.7	-2.67
Doug Overton	45	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-15	23	12.1	14.6	-2.57	13.8	16.9	-3.16
Frankie King	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-8	9	12.2	14.2	-1.96	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Mark Davis	54	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-7	7	14.4	12.3	2.15	16.2	14.5	1.78
Mark Hendrickson	55	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-3	-1	13.6	13.3	0.28	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Michael Cage	37	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	3	-13	14.8	12.6	2.21	16.3	15.0	1.29
Clar. Weatherspoon	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	1	-9	13.7	12.7	1.05	16.2	13.1	3.16
Allen Iverson	94	97	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-3	-1	13.5	13.2	0.22	15.6	11.0	4.64
Jerry Stackhouse	87	89	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	6	-19	13.4	14.2	-0.81	15.3	16.6	-1.28

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	86	84	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-4	15	15.3	16.2	-0.87	13.5	13.4	0.04
Antonio Lang	46	44	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	-13	33	15.3	15.6	-0.36	14.3	12.8	1.56
Vitaly Potapenko	41	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-5	17	17.0	14.4	2.52	15.2	12.2	3.07
Bob Sura	91	86	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.43	-4	11	-15	15.9	11.8	4.06	13.2	15.2	-1.95
Danny Ferry	61	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	0	7	16.5	13.9	2.62	13.7	13.1	0.62
Reggie Geary	16	17	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-2	11	11.5	16.2	-4.70	14.8	13.2	1.65
Donny Marshall	42	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	10	-13	13.9	16.5	-2.61	13.0	13.8	-0.72
Terrell Brandon	70	68	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.44	-11	18	-29	16.0	14.3	1.68	12.6	15.3	-2.70
Tyrone Hill	51	50	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.28	-6	13	-19	14.6	16.3	-1.63	12.4	14.6	-2.20
Mark West	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	7	-7	7.0	15.5	-8.54	12.0	13.5	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 100, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.96,1	95.4%
NOK 86, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
LAL 99, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.4%