NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	101		Excitement	3.5 [1094]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +21.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	112		Comeback	1.3 [452]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -11.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.06	-0.04	11	87%	0.26	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	52%	-0.01	1	-0.00	13	31%	-0.07
Blake Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.09	5	-0.10	13	69%	0.01
Marreese Speights	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	59%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	6	44%	-0.02	4	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	0.08	5	90%	-0.01	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.03	0.03	13	77%	0.21	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.04	0.03	15	75%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	59%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.07	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.04	0.07	8	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Axel Toupane	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.7	32.2	15.6	27.4	2.4	34.4	139.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +20.3%

MIL +9.1%

LAC -6.2%

MIL +26.9%

LAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	14.8	106.3	115.5	107.7
season	15.0	14.9		110.8	107.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		107.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.5	13.0	18.9	15.7	15.3
MIL	13.2	14.2	16.3	15.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	61	64	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.17	13	-24	37	15.3	15.3	-0.06	15.3	13.6	1.74
Chris Paul	59	59	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-16	21	14.9	15.9	-1.02	14.8	14.7	0.10
Wesley Johnson	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-18	25	12.0	15.5	-3.51	20.4	14.3	6.15
Brandon Bass	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-20	29	13.8	15.5	-1.66	15.5	14.6	0.85
Luc Mbah a Moute	59	60	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-17	23	15.5	14.9	0.55	15.1	14.1	0.99
DeAndre Jordan	63	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-7	3	14.9	16.0	-1.13	15.0	14.1	0.96
Blake Griffin	76	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	15.6	14.0	1.61	14.3	16.4	-2.05
Marreese Speights	19	19	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	5	-21	17.9	14.6	3.26	13.9	14.9	-1.03
Raymond Felton	29	30	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	3	-17	15.8	15.0	0.78	15.2	14.5	0.69
Jamal Crawford	35	35	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.00	-25	14	-39	15.5	15.1	0.36	13.5	15.4	-1.89
Austin Rivers	56	56	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.00	-28	17	-45	14.8	15.9	-1.08	13.7	16.1	-2.47

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	53	50	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.20	28	-17	45	13.9	15.7	-1.88	15.3	15.2	0.08
Matthew Dellavedova	74	71	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.09	24	-13	37	14.3	16.2	-1.96	15.7	13.9	1.83
Greg Monroe	71	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	-8	27	13.9	17.0	-3.11	16.3	12.8	3.50
Khris Middleton	64	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-6	23	14.7	14.8	-0.19	16.5	12.8	3.73
Giannis Antetokounmpo	64	63	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	-1	13	14.5	15.2	-0.70	16.3	13.4	2.88
Mirza Teletovic	20	20	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	9	-7	15.8	14.4	1.36	14.0	15.6	-1.63
Malcolm Brogdon	50	49	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.35	-11	22	-33	15.4	14.0	1.36	13.4	17.3	-3.83
Thon Maker	34	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.16	-5	16	-21	15.4	14.3	1.06	13.1	16.5	-3.42
Rashad Vaughn	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	17.7	14.6	3.04	8.3	15.5	-7.18
Axel Toupane	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	17.7	14.6	3.04	8.3	15.5	-7.18
Spencer Hawes	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	20.6	14.4	6.20	9.6	15.6	-6.00
Tony Snell	44	45	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.26	-15	26	-41	15.5	14.1	1.38	15.7	14.9	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 116, HOU 140	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
ORL 77, BKN 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
PHX 95, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%