inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 87 Excitement8.2 [231] MVPAnthony Davis (NOP): +17.5%
New Orleans Pelicans 91 Comeback10.4 [223] LVPJustise Winslow (MIA): -18.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Johnson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04-0.010.04-0.001342%0.0400.0000%0.00
Luke Babbitt0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Derrick Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.00-0.01383%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Josh Richardson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01-0.060.04-0.02839%0.052-0.042100%0.02
Goran Dragic-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,00.07-0.050.021762%0.103-0.10333%-0.03
Josh McRoberts-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00350%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Willie Reed-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.0010%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
James Johnson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.05-0.06-0.021242%-0.022-0.072100%0.01
Hassan Whiteside-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.13,-0.06,-0.12-0.05-0.07-0.001038%-0.031-0.09633%-0.12
Justise Winslow-0.190,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19-0.06-0.13-0.011637%-0.161-0.0300%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.27,0.180.180.110.090.021765%0.263-0.09967%-0.01
Langston Galloway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.170.170.010.16-0.001150%0.191-0.0200%0.00
Jrue Holiday0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.130.130.070.070.011756%0.151-0.02560%0.01
Tim Frazier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.00638%-0.001-0.0310%-0.01
Alexis Ajinca0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.01542%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00831%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Buddy Hield0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01819%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.00739%-0.041-0.034100%0.03
Solomon Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00625%-0.022-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.528.115.624.62.640.2138.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +11.8%
NOP +18.1%
MIA -4.8%
NOP +24.8%
NOP +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANOPNBAMIANOPNBA
this game16.313.014.887.992.9107.7
season15.414.1106.7104.1
opponent15.014.5106.2105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.616.018.214.516.3
NOP12.813.413.712.113.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh McRoberts32320.28-0.781.060.029-132216.416.20.2713.212.80.37
Luke Babbitt25240.26-0.761.020.086-101617.116.01.1614.312.51.81
Willie Reed24240.22-0.720.940.075-91416.816.10.7114.112.61.48
Derrick Williams16160.05-0.550.60-0.012-6814.816.5-1.7214.812.62.20
Josh Richardson70710.03-0.530.56-0.001-5615.518.0-2.4712.613.9-1.32
Goran Dragic7070-0.580.08-0.67-0.44-51-616.016.8-0.7612.613.9-1.24
Tyler Johnson6160-0.640.14-0.79-0.44-73-1016.016.7-0.6613.012.90.04
James Johnson4543-0.680.18-0.86-0.27-1410-2417.415.32.1912.813.1-0.32
Hassan Whiteside7473-0.700.20-0.89-0.46-84-1216.216.5-0.3012.813.5-0.74
Justise Winslow7877-0.740.24-0.97-0.47-95-1416.515.50.9912.614.2-1.55

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Langston Galloway60640.86-0.361.210.3617-133012.314.0-1.6416.316.10.21
E'Twaun Moore53540.84-0.341.180.4314-102412.513.5-0.9616.416.10.26
Anthony Davis75750.490.010.480.3740412.713.9-1.2316.814.72.09
Dante Cunningham69690.400.100.310.4004-412.713.6-0.9316.815.01.84
Jrue Holiday56550.390.110.270.44-26-812.613.4-0.7616.016.6-0.61
Tyreke Evans29300.140.36-0.21-0.067-31013.012.90.0917.115.91.26
Solomon Hill47480.010.49-0.48-0.0831213.612.41.2015.916.6-0.73
Tim Frazier1918-0.110.61-0.720.03-59-1413.612.80.7616.916.10.85
Alexis Ajinca4645-0.200.70-0.910.03-812-2013.512.51.0415.217.2-2.01
Buddy Hield3637-0.320.82-1.14-0.03-1014-2414.412.12.2915.117.0-1.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.39,0.28,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.47,0.72,0.57,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 93, MIN 950.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.55,0.67,0.9,190.4%
DAL 106, PHX 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.19,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.73,190.2%
IND 102, DAL 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.55,0.85,0.68,0.84,190.1%