NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	106		Excitement	9.0 [130]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +20.2%
Phoenix Suns	111		Comeback	7.8 [93]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (DAL): -31.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.13	0.00	25	56%	0.23	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.07
Walt Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	8	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	14	46%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	17	47%	-0.16	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.07
Adrian Griffin	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.2,-0.32,-0.32	-0.06	-0.26	-0.00	15	37%	-0.27	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.22,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.01	0.01	28	64%	0.20	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	0.00	5	75%	0.21	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.09
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	14	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	4	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	53%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	16	46%	-0.06	1	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	29.2	15.4	24.3	1.8	42.2	140.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +61.2%

PHX +3.7%

DAL -16.3%

PHX +2.3%

DAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.4	14.7	15.5	115.2	119.4	101.6
season	15.1	15.0		108.6	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		100.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	17.0	17.4	16.4	16.4
PHX	16.3	15.7	15.3	11.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	64	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-8	11	16.9	15.3	1.65	15.8	12.3	3.51
Walt Williams	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	0	-5	15.1	16.7	-1.61	10.8	15.4	-4.62
Adrian Griffin	51	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-7	9	17.3	15.4	1.84	15.7	13.6	2.12
Raja Bell	16	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-4	3	15.7	16.6	-0.90	15.1	14.6	0.43
Shawn Bradley	21	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	1	-7	16.3	16.5	-0.19	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Nick Van Exel	52	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-5	5	16.6	16.2	0.42	13.2	16.9	-3.74
Steve Nash	79	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	16.1	18.6	-2.54	15.1	12.5	2.59
Dirk Nowitzki	92	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	16.4	0.0	16.43	14.7	0.0	14.71
Michael Finley	71	73	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.49	-10	5	-15	16.1	17.4	-1.29	14.5	15.3	-0.75

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	77	73	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-10	25	14.5	15.6	-1.03	17.0	14.4	2.60
Casey Jacobsen	49	49	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	-2	9	13.7	15.9	-2.19	16.0	17.0	-1.02
Stephon Marbury	89	89	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	0	5	14.4	21.0	-6.57	16.4	16.0	0.45
Shawn Marion	87	86	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	4	-3	14.8	13.8	0.94	16.4	16.3	0.11
Bo Outlaw	59	59	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	5	-5	15.2	13.9	1.30	15.7	17.8	-2.11
Jake Voskuhl	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	6	-7	13.7	15.3	-1.61	16.6	16.3	0.29
Scott Williams	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	1	3	16.3	14.5	1.78	15.4	16.6	-1.16
Randy Brown	17	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	9	-13	15.9	14.4	1.51	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Amar'e Stoudemire	45	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.11	-2	7	-9	15.9	13.6	2.28	17.4	15.6	1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.19,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.58,1	91.0%
BOS 82, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.32,0.57,1	90.7%
TOR 81, NOH 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.73,1	90.5%