NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	8.7 [171]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +27.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	89		Comeback	7.2 [299]		LVP	Desmond Mason (MIL): -31.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	8	88%	0.21	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.03	0.13	-0.09	0.01	17	74%	0.23	2	-0.20	4	100%	0.02
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.23,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	13	50%	0.08	2	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Curtis Borchardt	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	10	42%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Matt Harpring	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.24	-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	17	24%	-0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.14	0.02	13	79%	0.31	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.06
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.17	0.17	-0.00	0.17	-0.00	6	71%	0.27	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.11	0.00	7	67%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.09
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	47%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.3	-0.30	-0.13	-0.17	-0.00	8	25%	-0.25	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.03
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.11	-0.20	0.00	6	45%	-0.25	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	24.5	15.4	27.1	0.3	34.5	127.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -6.3%

MIL +24.4%

MIL +23.8%

MIL +8.5%

UTA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIL	NBA	UTA	MIL	NBA
this game	17.5	14.5	15.5	95.6	98.9	104.0
season	16.7	16.0		102.3	104.4
opponent	15.0	15.1		107.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.8	18.2	16.1	19.1	17.5
MIL	13.8	16.0	15.2	12.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	23	25	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.02	9	-12	21	18.4	17.3	1.14	15.2	14.2	1.09
Curtis Borchardt	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-1	-1	17.0	17.8	-0.78	14.9	14.3	0.63
Howard Eisley	48	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	1	-5	19.1	15.8	3.30	14.3	14.6	-0.26
Kris Humphries	14	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	1	-5	24.1	16.3	7.81	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Carlos Arroyo	20	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	5	-13	22.4	16.1	6.31	15.1	14.2	0.90
Keith McLeod	70	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-8	13	16.1	22.4	-6.31	14.2	15.1	-0.90
Carlos Boozer	75	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-4	5	16.5	22.8	-6.31	14.6	13.8	0.80
Mehmet Okur	63	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-2	1	17.8	17.0	0.78	14.3	14.9	-0.63
Gordan Giricek	43	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.49	1	-4	5	15.5	19.4	-3.89	14.6	14.3	0.26
Matt Harpring	67	65	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.39	-12	9	-21	17.3	18.4	-1.14	14.2	15.2	-1.09

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Fizer	40	41	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.41	13	-10	23	13.4	15.3	-1.86	19.6	15.8	3.84
Mike James	42	43	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-7	17	13.0	15.7	-2.68	19.4	15.9	3.50
Zaza Pachulia	61	61	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-8	19	14.1	15.2	-1.11	18.6	15.3	3.25
Michael Redd	60	60	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-2	7	14.1	15.1	-0.92	17.3	18.1	-0.83
Desmond Mason	58	57	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	1	1	14.1	15.2	-1.14	16.6	19.1	-2.44
Toni Kukoc	32	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	2	-1	15.2	14.1	1.14	19.1	16.6	2.44
Erick Strickland	30	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	5	-7	15.1	14.1	0.92	18.1	17.3	0.83
Dan Gadzuric	29	29	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	11	-19	15.2	14.1	1.11	15.3	18.6	-3.25
Mo Williams	48	47	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.05	-7	10	-17	15.7	13.0	2.68	15.9	19.4	-3.50
Joe Smith	50	49	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.00	-10	13	-23	15.3	13.4	1.86	15.8	19.6	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.73,1	92.1%
GSW 112, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.28,1	91.8%
CLE 99, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.5,0.4,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.55,0.58,1	91.6%