NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	82		Excitement	9.1 [108]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +26.8%
Phoenix Suns	84		Comeback	7.1 [317]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (PHX): -22.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kedrick Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.08,-0.12,-0.05,0.03,0.07,-0.05,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	24	54%	0.21	4	-0.21	13	92%	0.19
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	83%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	7	56%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.06
Kenny Anderson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	6	17%	-0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	24	34%	-0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.03	0.25	0.01	24	55%	0.32	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.06
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,0.04,0.09,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.08	0.02	21	45%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,0.01	0.01	-0.18	0.19	0.00	12	25%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.19,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.14	2	100%	0.07
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	9	28%	-0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	27.1	14.7	25.2	2.5	33.2	127.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +61.8%

BOS -30.6%

PHX +13.6%

BOS -1.6%

PHX +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.6	85.4	90.3	102.3
season	15.0	15.1		100.9	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.7		102.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	14.4	15.9	18.1	15.6
PHX	12.1	17.7	12.8	17.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	49	48	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-5	8	16.1	15.1	1.02	15.4	14.3	1.06
Joe Johnson	38	36	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.03	2	-4	6	14.9	16.1	-1.13	14.0	15.4	-1.40
Vitaly Potapenko	43	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-1	0	14.3	16.7	-2.44	13.3	16.2	-2.90
Erick Strickland	26	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	6	-14	14.6	16.0	-1.41	11.4	16.1	-4.79
Kenny Anderson	71	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.50	9	-11	20	16.1	14.3	1.74	16.2	10.9	5.37
Tony Battie	53	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-1	0	16.7	14.3	2.44	16.0	13.5	2.52
Kedrick Brown	24	24	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.46	-3	1	-4	15.2	15.7	-0.47	16.8	14.2	2.66
Paul Pierce	90	88	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	5	-12	15.7	14.3	1.36	14.5	22.0	-7.55
Antoine Walker	86	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.52	-4	2	-6	15.6	15.9	-0.33	14.8	15.2	-0.45

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	56	55	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.45	7	-5	12	14.7	15.1	-0.41	16.2	14.9	1.31
Shawn Marion	78	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-1	4	14.5	16.9	-2.39	16.0	13.6	2.45
Anfernee Hardaway	85	87	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.46	2	0	2	15.3	10.0	5.32	16.1	10.8	5.33
Stephon Marbury	73	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.49	-2	4	-6	14.5	16.3	-1.90	15.4	16.3	-0.87
Tom Gugliotta	50	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	4	-6	15.7	13.8	1.90	15.8	15.3	0.50
Dan Majerle	34	37	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	-6	14	14.1	15.3	-1.26	14.2	16.5	-2.30
John Wallace	4	4	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	-4	10	10.5	15.1	-4.56	13.7	15.7	-1.93
Alton Ford	34	34	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	3	-4	14.6	15.0	-0.34	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Bo Outlaw	11	13	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	9	-16	19.2	14.3	4.90	13.5	15.9	-2.39
Jake Voskuhl	40	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	6	-10	14.6	15.0	-0.41	15.6	15.6	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.32,0.57,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.53,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.58,1	91.3%
DAL 106, PHX 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.19,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.73,1	90.7%
TOR 86, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.58,1	90.4%