NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	5.5 [721]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +7.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	1.1 [480]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -13.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	20	46%	0.11	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.05
Kosta Koufos	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	11	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05
Garrett Temple	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Anthony Tolliver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ben McLemore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Matt Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	8	32%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	69%	0.07	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Troy Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	18	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	13	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	7	42%	-0.06	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	38.2	15.4	31.5	2.3	48.5	161.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +39.5%

MEM -4.2%

SAC +6.5%

SAC +6.2%

SAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	16.7	14.8	14.8	105.5	100.0	107.7
season	15.4	16.1		106.0	106.4
opponent	14.9	14.6		106.7	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.1	15.1	15.3	21.6	16.7
MEM	17.6	14.3	15.3	12.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	71	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	4	-4	17.1	15.2	1.81	14.6	15.7	-1.18
DeMarcus Cousins	68	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	-2	8	15.9	19.0	-3.07	14.7	15.2	-0.46
Anthony Tolliver	59	60	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.33	2	2	0	16.4	17.2	-0.77	14.1	16.2	-2.09
Matt Barnes	53	57	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	-2	8	16.1	17.5	-1.40	14.4	15.5	-1.02
Ty Lawson	40	44	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	3	-2	17.5	16.0	1.50	14.0	15.6	-1.54
Darren Collison	72	71	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.31	-2	6	-8	16.6	16.8	-0.16	15.1	13.9	1.26
Ben McLemore	32	29	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	-1	6	16.1	17.0	-0.92	16.6	14.0	2.62
Kosta Koufos	56	54	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	5	-6	17.7	14.9	2.79	15.4	13.9	1.50
Willie Cauley-Stein	4	4	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	1	2	16.5	16.7	-0.17	20.2	14.6	5.67

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Williams	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-3	2	16.5	14.0	2.43	15.3	17.3	-2.03
Vince Carter	35	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-6	8	14.0	15.3	-1.33	17.6	16.1	1.48
Jarell Martin	23	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	1	-6	16.3	14.3	1.91	15.6	17.0	-1.41
JaMychal Green	41	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	4	-12	15.5	14.3	1.15	15.2	17.8	-2.58
Zach Randolph	51	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-8	12	14.3	15.5	-1.15	17.8	15.2	2.58
Mike Conley	56	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-3	2	14.6	15.2	-0.56	16.6	16.7	-0.15
Marc Gasol	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-5	6	14.4	16.2	-1.84	17.0	15.4	1.66
Troy Daniels	52	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.43	4	-8	12	14.2	15.7	-1.50	18.3	14.6	3.69
Andrew Harrison	37	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	7	-18	14.9	14.8	0.16	15.5	17.5	-2.04
Tony Allen	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	1	-6	15.1	14.1	1.06	16.2	17.8	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, NYK 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
IND 90, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DAL 108, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.5%