NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	4.7 [532]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +7.0%
New York Knicks	78		Comeback	1.3 [301]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -12.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	13	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	11	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	14	61%	0.11	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	53%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick McKey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	15	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	16	39%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	14	43%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	15	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.7	31.2	18.6	25.2	2.6	37.2	143.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.8%

IND +13.8%

IND +3.2%

NYK -5.6%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	16.2	15.8	100.0	86.7	99.6
season	16.4	16.0		105.4	97.0
opponent	16.6	16.0		95.1	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.5	15.8	16.0	16.0	15.8
NYK	14.5	16.9	17.5	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	57	56	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-3	18	15.7	16.1	-0.42	16.2	16.2	0.00
Antonio Davis	58	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.00	16	-4	20	15.3	16.8	-1.54	15.4	17.4	-1.94
Chris Mullin	52	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	2	8	15.6	16.1	-0.54	16.3	16.0	0.34
Mark Jackson	73	73	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	8	-4	15.5	17.4	-1.89	16.3	15.5	0.87
Dale Davis	65	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	9	-6	16.5	14.1	2.36	16.2	16.1	0.09
Derrick McKey	33	33	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	4	4	16.0	15.7	0.23	16.0	16.3	-0.23
Reggie Miller	67	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	12	-12	15.8	16.0	-0.18	16.1	16.4	-0.27
Fred Hoiberg	13	14	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	4	4	16.0	15.8	0.21	15.4	16.3	-0.97
Sam Perkins	10	11	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	10	-8	18.5	15.5	3.01	17.6	16.0	1.66
Rik Smits	22	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.15	-6	18	-24	16.0	15.7	0.30	17.3	15.8	1.45

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	44	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-12	12	15.5	16.8	-1.37	15.7	15.9	-0.19
Chris Dudley	33	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-7	2	15.4	16.6	-1.24	16.3	15.6	0.71
Kurt Thomas	26	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-4	-4	15.8	16.3	-0.47	15.3	16.0	-0.70
Larry Johnson	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-6	0	16.4	14.5	1.86	16.0	14.7	1.33
Chris Childs	59	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-3	-6	16.6	15.3	1.30	15.9	15.6	0.30
Latrell Sprewell	61	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-3	-6	16.9	14.7	2.20	15.8	15.8	0.04
Marcus Camby	69	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-2	-8	16.1	16.3	-0.20	16.0	15.3	0.64
Allan Houston	79	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.11	-13	1	-14	15.9	17.9	-1.97	15.5	19.0	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, NYK 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
DAL 97, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
CHI 101, SAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.7%