NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	120		Excitement	9.1 [147]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +28.3%
LA Clippers	121		Comeback	3.1 [689]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -6.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.03	0.15	-0.00	9	65%	0.23	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
CJ McCollum	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.01	17	64%	0.24	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.05
Mason Plumlee	0.12	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	15	53%	0.17	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	12	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	1	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	0.07	-0.08	0.04	17	60%	0.10	2	-0.15	6	100%	0.05

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.26	0.07	11	63%	0.28	0	0.00	8	100%	0.23
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.13	0.01	14	66%	0.29	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.11	-0.03	7	56%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	5	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	61%	0.10	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	25	49%	0.07	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	27.6	15.5	26.4	2.4	54.6	154.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +1.4%

LAC +6.7%

LAC +15.6%

LAC +10.7%

LAC +15.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	14.8	120.0	122.2	107.7
season	14.9	15.0		108.6	110.8
opponent	14.8	14.5		106.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.1	11.0	16.2	13.3	14.1
LAC	12.7	18.5	13.8	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Crabbe	47	47	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-1	1	13.2	15.0	-1.79	13.0	16.5	-3.44
Al-Farouq Aminu	43	43	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	15.0	13.5	1.46	14.9	14.7	0.18
Jake Layman	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-4	7	5.0	14.2	-9.21	1.0	15.0	-13.97
Meyers Leonard	6	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	1	-3	16.3	14.0	2.35	15.2	14.8	0.39
Shabazz Napier	2	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	2	-5	1.5	14.4	-12.88	2.0	15.0	-12.96
Mason Plumlee	66	67	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.38	10	-11	21	14.3	13.8	0.49	16.3	11.8	4.41
Noah Vonleh	31	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	1	-3	13.6	14.3	-0.69	14.1	15.2	-1.04
Evan Turner	63	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.37	4	-5	9	13.4	15.4	-2.04	15.6	13.7	1.92
Damian Lillard	75	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.35	1	-2	3	14.4	13.2	1.28	15.1	13.8	1.31
Maurice Harkless	66	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.50	5	-6	11	14.4	13.6	0.76	15.2	14.2	0.99
Ed Davis	32	30	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	11	-23	14.6	13.9	0.65	12.6	15.8	-3.24
CJ McCollum	68	68	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.59	-10	9	-19	14.5	13.3	1.19	15.0	14.5	0.45

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	55	56	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.60	3	-2	5	15.6	13.8	1.78	14.2	14.0	0.17
Chris Paul	74	74	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-4	9	15.1	14.1	1.00	14.3	13.7	0.63
Blake Griffin	80	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	0	1	15.6	11.7	3.83	14.1	14.2	-0.06
Raymond Felton	50	51	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.45	1	0	1	14.5	15.1	-0.62	13.8	14.4	-0.61
DeAndre Jordan	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.39	-1	2	-3	16.4	11.8	4.67	14.8	12.8	2.03
Marreese Speights	31	32	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	-3	7	12.8	15.7	-2.94	13.7	14.3	-0.54
Wesley Johnson	21	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	0	1	10.7	15.9	-5.22	12.9	14.4	-1.53
Jamal Crawford	50	51	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.17	4	-3	7	13.6	16.1	-2.52	13.6	14.7	-1.13
Alan Anderson	25	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	5	-9	14.1	15.1	-1.00	13.7	14.3	-0.63
Luc Mbah a Moute	44	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.16	-9	10	-19	15.3	14.5	0.84	14.8	13.6	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.4,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.47,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.61,0.61,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.8,0.71,0.85,0.95,1	91.6%
MEM 78, MIL 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.62,0.77,0.98,1,1	91.1%
CHI 80, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.89,0.96,1	90.8%