NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	78		Excitement	6.3 [551]		MVP	Jamaal Magloire (MIL): +11.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	88		Comeback	1.5 [848]		LVP	Brian Cardinal (MEM): -15.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.03	9	52%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Eddie Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	5	91%	0.11	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	14	47%	0.08	2	-0.11	12	75%	0.03
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Antonio Burks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.01	-0.14	0.00	9	55%	-0.05	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.09	0.02	12	57%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.05
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	5	27%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	18	51%	0.07	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	21%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	11	41%	-0.02	2	-0.10	5	60%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	28.1	15.4	27.2	1.8	38.3	135.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +2.0%

MIL +13.4%

MIL +13.1%

MIL +21.5%

MIL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIL	NBA	MEM	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	86.7	97.8	104.4
season	17.1	15.5		103.5	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		106.0	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.9	14.9	17.7	16.4	16.2
MIL	16.8	15.1	16.6	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Burks	27	28	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.16	10	-20	30	16.7	16.0	0.71	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Brian Cardinal	51	53	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.35	14	-24	38	16.1	16.3	-0.25	15.4	16.5	-1.06
Lorenzen Wright	11	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-8	6	17.8	15.9	1.88	16.6	15.7	0.91
Dahntay Jones	14	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.02	-3	-7	4	12.1	16.9	-4.77	14.8	16.0	-1.15
Bobby Jackson	50	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-10	10	15.3	17.3	-2.04	15.6	16.1	-0.58
Mike Miller	64	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-9	8	15.5	17.8	-2.25	15.1	17.7	-2.67
Jake Tsakalidis	36	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	4	-18	15.6	16.5	-0.88	16.8	15.2	1.60
Shane Battier	46	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	1	-12	16.4	15.9	0.50	15.0	16.8	-1.83
Chucky Atkins	28	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	5	-20	17.7	15.5	2.19	17.2	15.2	2.03
Pau Gasol	74	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	1	-12	16.7	13.7	3.02	16.4	12.9	3.56
Eddie Jones	49	50	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.07	-17	7	-24	17.0	15.1	1.92	16.2	15.3	0.87

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	68	68	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.08	27	-17	44	15.5	16.9	-1.36	16.9	13.9	3.05
Andrew Bogut	67	68	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.07	22	-12	34	15.7	16.3	-0.63	16.4	15.4	1.06
Michael Redd	74	74	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.12	17	-7	24	15.5	17.2	-1.72	15.6	18.8	-3.22
Jamaal Magloire	52	54	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	6	-2	16.4	15.1	1.31	16.6	15.5	1.16
T.J. Ford	73	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-2	14	15.8	16.2	-0.42	16.8	13.5	3.33
Joe Smith	21	20	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	2	6	16.6	15.6	1.02	15.4	16.4	-0.92
Dan Gadzuric	7	6	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	9	-8	11.6	16.2	-4.62	15.7	16.2	-0.54
Jiri Welsch	25	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.16	-10	20	-30	16.4	15.6	0.84	14.6	16.8	-2.22
Charlie Bell	34	34	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.10	-15	25	-40	15.4	16.1	-0.77	15.0	16.9	-1.83
Toni Kukoc	29	29	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.06	-16	26	-42	17.5	15.0	2.43	16.1	16.2	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.62,0.77,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 90, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.4,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	92.5%
POR 96, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.96,1	91.6%
DET 93, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.93,0.96,1	91.5%