NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	7.4 [379]		MVP	Al Jefferson (IND): +16.9%
Phoenix Suns	94		Comeback	2.1 [704]		LVP	CJ Miles (IND): -13.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	7	68%	0.17	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Myles Turner	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.05	0.01	11	77%	0.19	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	57%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Paul George	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.04	0.02	18	54%	0.12	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	90%	0.13	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	15	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	10	45%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.09	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.10	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	11	36%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	13	48%	0.01	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	12	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	13	43%	0.01	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	31.3	15.6	27.1	2.5	30.5	135.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +15.9%

IND +9.2%

IND +14.7%

IND +11.4%

PHX -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	13.3	14.3	14.8	103.8	90.4	107.7
season	14.9	13.9		107.5	105.4
opponent	14.5	14.8		110.3	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.2	12.4	13.1	15.8	13.3
PHX	13.5	14.3	14.1	15.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	53	52	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.03	16	-1	17	14.2	12.3	1.96	14.7	13.9	0.85
Al Jefferson	41	40	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	5	5	13.2	13.3	-0.14	15.1	13.8	1.25
Paul George	81	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	4	7	13.3	13.0	0.39	14.2	14.7	-0.47
Jeff Teague	77	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	5	5	13.6	12.4	1.13	14.3	14.4	-0.07
Thaddeus Young	68	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	6	3	13.0	13.7	-0.69	14.0	14.9	-0.93
CJ Miles	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	6	3	13.2	13.3	-0.11	15.3	13.9	1.41
Aaron Brooks	28	25	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	10	-5	12.4	13.6	-1.13	14.4	14.3	0.07
Myles Turner	63	63	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	8	-1	13.5	12.9	0.59	13.9	15.0	-1.14
Glenn Robinson	29	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	16	-17	13.3	13.2	0.03	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Monta Ellis	52	52	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	16	-17	12.3	14.2	-1.96	13.9	14.7	-0.85

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Ulis	14	14	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-20	25	14.9	14.2	0.63	11.9	13.5	-1.62
Marquese Chriss	43	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-16	17	14.3	14.3	-0.01	12.7	13.6	-0.87
Dragan Bender	24	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.11	-6	-9	3	14.3	14.3	-0.02	11.6	13.8	-2.17
Jared Dudley	52	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	-6	-3	14.4	14.2	0.12	14.1	12.4	1.77
Alex Len	34	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-9	3	14.8	14.1	0.68	13.3	13.2	0.04
Devin Booker	66	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-12	9	14.3	14.4	-0.10	13.6	12.7	0.94
Leandro Barbosa	27	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-9	3	14.8	14.1	0.68	13.4	13.2	0.25
Tyson Chandler	69	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-4	-7	14.1	14.7	-0.57	13.4	13.0	0.43
PJ Tucker	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-6	-3	14.0	15.0	-1.00	13.5	12.7	0.83
Eric Bledsoe	64	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	1	-17	13.3	15.9	-2.67	13.1	13.6	-0.53
Brandon Knight	51	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	0	-15	15.5	13.1	2.40	13.1	13.4	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.12,0.22,0.07,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.09,0,0	93.0%
PHI 89, CHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.17,0,0	93.0%
NJN 89, CHH 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.52,0.32,0.3,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0	92.7%