NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	6.8 [448]		MVP	Kenny Thomas (PHI): +13.8%
Chicago Bulls	81		Comeback	1.8 [333]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -28.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.10	0.01	17	58%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Aaron McKie	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	13	72%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	12	54%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Zendon Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	78%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Amal McCaskill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.15	-0.13	0.01	11	42%	-0.06	6	-0.23	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	13	55%	0.05	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Shirley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	9	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	10%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.07	0.05	22	41%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.14	-0.12	0.00	18	34%	-0.11	3	-0.15	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	27.4	15.6	22.1	2.5	35.5	128.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +57.8%

PHI +14.8%

CHI -0.4%

CHI -24.6%

PHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	17.1	15.4	15.7	98.9	93.1	100.5
season	16.2	15.2		96.7	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		101.3	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.7	17.3	18.1	14.5	17.1
CHI	15.4	12.7	18.8	15.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	77	74	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-3	14	17.1	16.9	0.18	15.7	13.7	2.05
Aaron McKie	69	66	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-3	14	16.7	18.3	-1.58	15.3	15.8	-0.43
Eric Snow	75	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-4	16	16.8	18.6	-1.83	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Zendon Hamilton	60	59	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-2	12	16.0	19.2	-3.18	15.2	15.9	-0.67
Kyle Korver	33	33	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	5	-2	15.8	17.8	-1.99	14.4	16.1	-1.73
John Salmons	55	54	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	5	-2	17.8	15.9	1.90	15.7	15.1	0.61
Samuel Dalembert	21	19	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	8	-8	19.5	16.3	3.13	18.3	14.6	3.62
Greg Buckner	20	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	8	-8	18.1	16.8	1.31	15.6	15.4	0.18
Willie Green	18	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	13	-18	18.7	16.7	1.99	16.2	15.2	0.99
Amal McCaskill	22	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	13	-18	17.6	16.9	0.68	13.1	16.2	-3.02

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Shirley	18	19	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-14	20	13.9	15.8	-1.88	16.8	17.1	-0.30
Jamal Crawford	69	72	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-10	12	15.0	17.0	-1.97	17.2	16.6	0.58
Tyson Chandler	31	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-8	8	14.2	16.1	-1.93	16.7	17.3	-0.55
Jerome Williams	33	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	0	-8	17.1	14.4	2.66	18.3	16.3	2.05
Linton Johnson	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-11	14	14.7	16.3	-1.58	17.3	16.8	0.55
Antonio Davis	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	15.6	14.9	0.77	17.5	16.0	1.55
Kirk Hinrich	73	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	2	-12	15.7	14.1	1.54	17.2	16.3	0.94
Ronald Dupree	39	38	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	3	-14	14.8	16.0	-1.21	15.1	18.5	-3.46
Eddy Curry	60	63	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.19	-16	8	-24	16.6	12.9	3.64	16.9	17.5	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.17,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.02,0	93.9%
IND 109, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.12,0.22,0.07,0.04,0,0,0	93.0%
LAL 115, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.31,0.38,0.32,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	92.7%