NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	6.4 [504]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (NYK): +13.5%
New York Knicks	105		Comeback	1.8 [743]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -16.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.02	10	65%	0.17	1	-0.04	11	55%	-0.07
Jordan Farmar	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	5	90%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.00	11	70%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	5	79%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	8	59%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	7	79%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	24	48%	0.13	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.06
Luke Walton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	6	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	11	69%	0.14	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	22	61%	0.17	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.04	0.05	26	53%	0.04	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	9	10%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	3.5	29.4	22.7	29.5	3.0	39.3	153.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.6%

LAL +12.1%

NYK -6.2%

NYK -2.9%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.3	125.0	114.1	106.0
season	15.7	14.7		107.9	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.9	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.0	16.1	16.1	16.9	16.0
NYK	15.0	13.9	17.3	15.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	77	77	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	3	4	16.3	14.8	1.47	15.5	14.1	1.44
Jordan Farmar	35	37	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	-1	12	17.2	15.3	1.84	14.8	15.6	-0.82
Shannon Brown	41	42	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	2	6	17.1	15.1	2.01	14.7	15.7	-1.03
Kobe Bryant	81	81	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	2	6	15.8	17.6	-1.82	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Lamar Odom	56	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-1	12	16.5	15.3	1.24	14.5	16.5	-1.91
Metta World Peace	55	54	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	7	-4	15.3	17.1	-1.71	16.0	14.2	1.76
Andrew Bynum	51	50	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	8	-6	15.1	17.1	-2.01	15.7	14.7	1.03
Derek Fisher	57	55	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	11	-12	15.3	17.2	-1.84	15.6	14.8	0.82
Luke Walton	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	9	-8	17.4	15.9	1.51	13.1	15.4	-2.30

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	21	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-7	4	13.3	15.8	-2.51	17.5	15.6	1.88
Al Harrington	35	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-7	4	15.3	15.3	-0.02	17.4	15.3	2.06
Jordan Hill	22	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-8	6	14.7	15.4	-0.72	16.7	15.8	0.85
Chris Duhon	59	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-9	8	15.5	14.9	0.52	15.4	17.3	-1.85
Wilson Chandler	80	81	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-10	10	15.1	16.3	-1.22	15.8	17.5	-1.72
David Lee	81	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-6	2	15.3	14.8	0.52	16.0	15.9	0.14
Larry Hughes	12	12	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-4	-2	17.7	14.9	2.85	16.8	15.9	0.92
Jared Jeffries	81	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	4	-18	15.4	14.6	0.72	15.9	17.7	-1.81
Danilo Gallinari	69	71	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.24	-17	7	-24	15.5	14.7	0.77	15.7	17.3	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.31,0.38,0.32,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0	93.4%
SAS 97, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.06,0.17,0	93.2%
LAL 106, VAN 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.1,0,0	93.2%