NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	105		Excitement	7.0 [423]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +15.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	1.9 [738]		LVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): -16.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	8	67%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	10	67%	0.16	2	-0.09	4	25%	-0.01
Kostas Papanikolaou	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.00	13	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.06	0.01	13	46%	0.08	4	-0.10	11	45%	-0.11
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	3	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	35%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	18	49%	0.00	7	-0.15	7	100%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.01	0.02	26	68%	0.24	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	52%	0.11	1	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	62%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	19	39%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	27.3	16.3	27.5	2.7	36.2	138.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +21.2%

HOU +1.1%

HOU +28.3%

CLE -2.3%

HOU +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	16.0	15.1	112.9	100.0	104.2
season	14.3	15.9		105.6	108.7
opponent	14.9	14.9		104.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.6	15.8	17.4	14.6	15.0
CLE	16.2	17.0	16.1	14.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	55	52	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.08	21	-9	30	13.2	17.5	-4.28	15.4	16.7	-1.31
Corey Brewer	42	43	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	-4	20	12.5	17.0	-4.41	16.2	15.8	0.43
Jason Terry	50	50	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	5	2	13.4	16.8	-3.43	15.3	16.9	-1.60
Patrick Beverley	54	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	4	4	16.0	13.5	2.46	17.2	14.2	3.05
Dwight Howard	70	70	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.19	2	10	-8	15.9	12.3	3.60	16.0	16.1	-0.17
Donatas Motiejunas	48	50	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	8	-4	16.4	13.4	2.99	17.4	14.4	2.94
James Harden	64	63	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.12	7	5	2	15.7	13.4	2.31	15.5	17.1	-1.67
Isaiah Canaan	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	6.0	15.1	-9.07	10.0	16.1	-6.07
Trevor Ariza	68	67	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	15	-18	16.2	11.6	4.66	15.6	16.9	-1.28
Kostas Papanikolaou	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	14	-16	12.5	15.4	-2.91	15.1	16.1	-1.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	20	19	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-17	22	15.7	16.1	-0.32	15.6	14.8	0.83
Brendan Haywood	12	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-10	8	15.7	16.0	-0.38	12.9	15.3	-2.35
Matthew Dellavedova	70	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-12	12	15.6	17.2	-1.56	14.6	16.0	-1.39
Joe Harris	35	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-3	-6	14.3	17.0	-2.66	12.9	16.2	-3.29
Shawn Marion	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-4	-4	16.3	15.8	0.42	12.0	16.7	-4.63
Mike Miller	50	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-7	2	17.0	14.8	2.21	16.6	13.3	3.30
J.R. Smith	36	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-1	-10	16.1	16.0	0.09	13.5	15.9	-2.44
Tristan Thompson	59	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-5	-2	16.4	15.4	1.02	16.4	12.3	4.18
Kevin Love	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	1	-14	16.0	15.8	0.20	15.4	13.2	2.21
Kyrie Irving	76	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	-2	-8	16.1	15.6	0.50	15.8	10.7	5.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.31,0.38,0.32,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	93.4%
LAL 106, VAN 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.1,0,0	92.7%
NYK 99, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.21,0.25,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	92.5%