NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	97		Excitement	7.6 [297]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +23.5%
Sacramento Kings	91		Comeback	1.5 [372]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -40.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.24	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.24	0.11	0.11	-0.01	23	65%	0.30	2	-0.07	9	67%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.10	-0.04	14	61%	0.25	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.00
Steve Kerr	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
David Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	11	46%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.20	-0.09	-0.01	13	23%	-0.14	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	16	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	47%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	12	44%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	1	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.09
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	7	37%	-0.12	3	-0.07	10	50%	-0.06
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.3,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.3,-0.32,-0.4	-0.40	-0.21	-0.19	0.01	25	37%	-0.33	3	-0.08	12	58%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	3.5	26.5	20.3	24.5	3.4	37.5	137.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +71.0%

SAC -4.7%

SAS +17.9%

SAC -38.2%

SAS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	16.8	13.7	15.5	102.1	96.8	100.9
season	15.9	14.4		103.4	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		97.8	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.5	17.2	15.5	17.9	16.8
SAC	11.6	12.3	15.8	15.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	87	86	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.36	5	1	4	16.7	17.5	-0.81	13.5	15.4	-1.83
Danny Ferry	45	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	0	6	16.3	17.2	-0.85	14.0	13.5	0.46
Derek Anderson	81	78	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	0	6	16.9	15.9	1.06	13.8	13.1	0.77
Terry Porter	36	37	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	3	0	17.1	16.6	0.52	14.5	13.2	1.29
David Robinson	58	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	-1	8	16.7	16.8	-0.04	13.5	14.0	-0.54
Malik Rose	64	65	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	4	-2	17.5	15.3	2.18	14.2	12.5	1.76
Antonio Daniels	61	60	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	5	-4	16.6	17.0	-0.42	13.2	14.6	-1.34
Steve Kerr	12	13	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	4	-2	15.5	16.9	-1.44	12.9	13.8	-0.90
Samaki Walker	31	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	8	-10	16.2	17.0	-0.89	13.0	14.0	-1.00

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Funderburke	13	12	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.00	3	-9	12	14.1	13.6	0.43	16.6	16.8	-0.20
Hedo Turkoglu	12	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-4	2	13.3	13.8	-0.42	16.1	16.8	-0.75
Jon Barry	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-3	0	12.7	13.9	-1.19	15.5	16.9	-1.44
Scot Pollard	34	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-9	12	14.2	13.4	0.79	16.7	16.8	-0.07
Jason Williams	62	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-4	2	13.1	14.8	-1.73	16.8	16.7	0.10
Bobby Jackson	32	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-2	-2	14.8	13.1	1.73	16.7	16.8	-0.10
Vlade Divac	66	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-3	0	13.1	15.2	-2.15	16.8	16.6	0.20
Doug Christie	82	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-3	0	13.9	12.7	1.19	16.9	15.5	1.44
Peja Stojakovic	83	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	13.8	13.3	0.49	16.8	16.3	0.51
Chris Webber	74	76	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.31	-14	8	-22	14.0	12.7	1.27	16.8	16.6	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.06,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 97, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.04,0	93.3%
CHI 109, MEM 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0	93.2%
NYK 86, ATL 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	93.2%