NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	89		Excitement	7.3 [364]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +9.8%
Charlotte Hornets	79		Comeback	2.2 [336]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -30.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	14	59%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Keith Van Horn	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	12	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	5	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	13	45%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Todd MacCulloch	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	4	22%	-0.05	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21	-0.22	-0.01	-0.02	23	40%	-0.08	5	-0.13	14	79%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	16	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	13	52%	0.01	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	9	32%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.26	-0.08	-0.03	19	36%	-0.18	4	-0.13	17	53%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	283.2	2.3	32.6	17.6	27.3	2.6	45.0	410.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +12.0%

CHH -9.8%

NJN +41.8%

NJN +5.6%

NJN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHH	NBA	NJN	CHH	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.6	95.7	86.8	102.3
season	14.7	15.9		101.4	102.2
opponent	15.6	16.0		101.1	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.3	16.5	14.0	18.0	16.2
CHH	15.0	16.3	16.0	13.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	78	75	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-2	14	15.3	20.5	-5.15	14.9	16.2	-1.34
Keith Van Horn	72	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-4	18	15.7	17.9	-2.20	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Kerry Kittles	67	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	0	10	15.4	18.2	-2.78	14.7	16.3	-1.62
Kenyon Martin	70	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.29	3	7	-4	15.7	17.4	-1.65	15.5	14.1	1.39
Jason Collins	46	44	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.30	-2	12	-14	17.2	15.1	2.15	13.2	17.0	-3.84
Richard Jefferson	44	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	7	-4	17.6	14.8	2.78	14.7	15.6	-0.94
Aaron Williams	15	17	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	2	6	14.3	16.5	-2.25	18.5	14.4	4.16
Todd MacCulloch	32	30	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	6	-2	15.5	16.5	-1.04	16.1	14.7	1.48
Lucious Harris	26	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	10	-10	18.2	15.4	2.78	16.3	14.7	1.62
Anthony Johnson	15	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	12	-14	20.5	15.3	5.15	16.2	14.9	1.34

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	8	7	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-11	12	17.9	14.9	3.00	20.3	15.8	4.47
Lee Nailon	32	33	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-10	10	12.6	16.5	-3.93	18.7	14.7	3.95
Jamaal Magloire	24	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-9	8	14.5	15.4	-0.93	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Elden Campbell	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	-1	-8	15.4	14.5	0.93	16.4	15.4	0.99
George Lynch	79	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	-2	-6	15.1	15.2	-0.12	15.7	19.1	-3.37
Baron Davis	91	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	15.1	0.0	15.14	16.2	0.0	16.15
David Wesley	83	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	1	-12	14.9	17.9	-3.00	15.8	20.3	-4.47
P.J. Brown	71	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.19	-12	2	-14	16.3	11.0	5.31	15.5	18.5	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.52,0.32,0.3,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.22,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0	93.5%
CHI 105, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.09,0,0	93.5%
GSW 118, CLE 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.23,0.21,0.12,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.5%