NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	6.7 [463]		MVP	Walt Williams (HOU): +30.9%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	1.8 [361]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -23.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.12	0.17	-0.02	11	73%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	9	67%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.00	18	55%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	20	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tierre Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Steve Francis	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.00	10	35%	-0.10	4	-0.14	6	83%	0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.03	13	73%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	23	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	58%	0.04	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.05	0.04	26	37%	-0.13	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	0.1	26.4	14.7	28.0	2.6	32.4	132.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +59.9%

PHX -15.3%

PHX -4.6%

HOU +13.6%

PHX -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	16.0	15.6	115.6	109.0	102.3
season	16.8	15.1		100.9	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.2		102.1	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.4	17.4	16.3	15.8	16.2
PHX	18.1	16.1	15.0	14.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	85	84	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-2	11	15.9	21.4	-5.49	16.2	12.0	4.20
Moochie Norris	45	45	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-1	9	16.5	15.9	0.64	15.5	16.5	-1.01
Cuttino Mobley	86	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	0	7	16.0	20.0	-3.97	15.8	21.7	-5.90
Kenny Thomas	76	75	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	2	3	16.2	16.4	-0.26	15.9	16.4	-0.55
Walt Williams	41	40	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	8	-9	15.4	16.9	-1.42	16.3	15.7	0.65
Eddie Griffin	50	49	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	0	7	16.3	16.1	0.11	16.1	15.8	0.26
Kelvin Cato	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	1	5	16.4	16.1	0.30	16.0	15.9	0.10
Terence Morris	14	14	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	4	-1	18.0	15.9	2.12	14.9	16.2	-1.32
Tierre Brown	9	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	9	-11	20.8	15.7	5.07	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Kevin Willis	12	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	14	-21	15.1	16.4	-1.30	17.8	15.7	2.16

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	23	23	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.03	4	-11	15	13.9	16.7	-2.83	13.6	17.1	-3.50
Jake Tsakalidis	45	44	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-8	9	16.5	15.4	1.06	16.2	16.2	0.08
Shawn Marion	71	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-8	9	15.8	16.8	-1.02	16.5	14.8	1.78
Bo Outlaw	22	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-5	3	18.1	15.3	2.82	15.3	16.5	-1.22
Anfernee Hardaway	65	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-3	-1	16.2	15.2	1.04	16.9	14.6	2.30
Joe Johnson	30	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	0	-7	16.6	15.7	0.91	15.7	16.5	-0.81
Stephon Marbury	84	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	0	-7	16.2	12.0	4.20	15.9	20.5	-4.60
Milt Palacio	35	36	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	3	-13	15.2	16.4	-1.22	17.3	15.5	1.87
Tom Gugliotta	70	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.30	-11	4	-15	15.4	17.9	-2.52	16.4	15.5	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.22,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
NJN 89, CHH 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.52,0.32,0.3,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0	93.5%
DEN 94, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.5%