NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	92		Excitement	7.7 [312]		MVP	Al Horford (BOS): +19.5%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	2.4 [695]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -16.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	65%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.02	-0.01	14	46%	0.10	6	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	9	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Garrett Temple	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	0.01	-0.11	-0.01	26	47%	-0.03	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Ty Lawson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	11	43%	-0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.08	0.03	18	68%	0.24	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	12	64%	0.18	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	21	39%	0.06	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	13	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
James Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	4	37%	-0.04	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.5	15.3	27.6	2.4	40.3	141.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +50.8%

SAC -1.3%

SAC -6.7%

BOS +5.9%

BOS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	14.8	96.8	102.1	107.7
season	15.4	14.7		106.0	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.6		108.3	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.8	14.9	13.9	15.1	14.9
BOS	16.2	17.9	13.3	14.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-4	3	14.1	15.2	-1.09	16.6	15.0	1.61
Matt Barnes	58	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-11	17	14.3	15.9	-1.59	16.0	14.4	1.62
Arron Afflalo	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	4	-13	15.8	14.4	1.35	14.1	16.2	-2.08
Kosta Koufos	20	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	3	-11	17.0	14.3	2.67	13.9	15.8	-1.91
Ty Lawson	42	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-7	9	14.1	15.5	-1.48	15.7	15.2	0.44
Omri Casspi	53	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-5	5	14.4	15.5	-1.17	15.9	14.9	0.98
Darren Collison	57	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	2	-9	15.2	14.4	0.88	14.8	16.3	-1.50
DeMarcus Cousins	67	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-5	5	15.3	13.8	1.52	15.1	16.3	-1.23
Garrett Temple	51	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.53	4	-9	13	14.4	15.5	-1.04	16.2	14.5	1.62
Rudy Gay	69	69	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.35	-12	7	-19	15.2	14.1	1.07	15.4	15.5	-0.16

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	73	74	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.25	15	-10	25	15.3	16.0	-0.69	15.6	12.2	3.41
Isaiah Thomas	66	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-3	11	15.4	15.4	0.01	15.4	13.6	1.77
Terry Rozier	32	30	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	-2	9	14.7	15.8	-1.06	15.1	14.8	0.30
Jonas Jerebko	35	34	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-3	11	16.1	15.0	1.05	14.2	15.3	-1.12
Al Horford	70	70	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	-4	13	15.2	16.0	-0.84	15.6	12.8	2.84
Kelly Olynyk	37	35	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	5	-5	14.0	16.3	-2.33	13.2	15.9	-2.68
Avery Bradley	69	67	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	3	-1	15.8	14.5	1.22	15.3	13.9	1.47
Amir Johnson	26	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.15	10	-5	15	15.5	15.4	0.16	17.3	13.9	3.39
James Young	5	4	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	4	-3	20.6	15.1	5.47	10.5	15.1	-4.59
Tyler Zeller	8	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.13	-9	14	-23	17.2	15.3	2.00	12.5	15.1	-2.61
Jaylen Brown	8	9	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	15	-25	16.0	15.4	0.63	11.1	15.3	-4.18
Marcus Smart	46	48	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.16	-16	21	-37	15.6	15.3	0.32	13.0	16.8	-3.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.7,0.89,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 92, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.82,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,1	92.7%
ORL 93, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.95,0.98,0.92,1	91.8%
WAS 106, TOR 114	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	91.3%