NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	6.7 [375]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +28.0%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	1.7 [794]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -27.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	9	85%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.06	0.05	20	56%	0.14	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	14	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Jordan Crawford	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
John Wall	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.27	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	13	37%	-0.10	7	-0.17	4	75%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.11	0.00	16	73%	0.28	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.01	13	54%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	5	54%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	72%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	18	57%	0.17	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	8	45%	0.00	3	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.05	-0.02	8	37%	0.01	7	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.5	29.5	15.6	24.5	0.8	37.3	136.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +58.7%

WAS -5.1%

BOS +6.2%

WAS -14.4%

BOS +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	14.2	17.1	15.6	100.0	108.7	102.8
season	15.0	15.5		99.5	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.7		97.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.8	14.5	15.1	14.5	14.2
BOS	17.2	17.6	17.6	16.1	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	22	24	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-8	8	15.6	13.8	1.82	17.1	17.1	-0.02
Kevin Seraphin	25	26	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-8	8	15.0	13.9	1.03	17.3	17.0	0.24
Trevor Booker	21	22	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-8	8	15.4	13.8	1.58	16.4	17.3	-0.91
Rashard Lewis	78	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-9	10	13.3	19.1	-5.74	17.0	17.8	-0.78
John Wall	77	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-6	4	13.8	16.1	-2.22	17.2	16.6	0.59
Jordan Crawford	22	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-4	0	15.0	14.0	1.04	16.9	17.2	-0.25
Chris Singleton	14	13	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	1	-10	19.1	13.3	5.74	17.8	17.0	0.78
Andray Blatche	74	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	-2	-4	14.5	12.9	1.57	17.6	15.3	2.23
JaVale McGee	63	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.27	-9	1	-10	13.3	16.2	-2.97	17.0	17.2	-0.20
Nick Young	64	63	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	3	-14	13.8	15.2	-1.45	16.7	17.9	-1.17

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	68	67	0.69	-0.20	0.89	0.20	17	-9	26	15.8	20.7	-4.83	14.8	12.5	2.32
Ray Allen	69	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-5	18	16.7	18.4	-1.78	13.7	15.7	-2.00
Rajon Rondo	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	2	4	17.0	17.6	-0.67	13.7	16.8	-3.15
Brandon Bass	57	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.35	5	3	2	17.9	15.9	2.00	14.5	13.7	0.75
Paul Pierce	68	67	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	-1	10	17.4	16.3	1.09	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Marquis Daniels	24	25	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.15	-1	9	-10	16.3	17.4	-1.09	14.7	14.0	0.71
Greg Stiemsma	42	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	6	-4	16.5	17.6	-1.01	13.3	15.0	-1.74
Avery Bradley	17	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	6	-4	17.6	17.0	0.67	16.8	13.7	3.15
Keyon Dooling	23	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	13	-18	18.4	16.7	1.78	15.7	13.7	2.00
Chris Wilcox	17	18	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.01	-8	16	-24	20.9	16.2	4.71	13.2	14.5	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.82,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.7,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,1	93.3%
NJN 87, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.79,0.99,0.99,1	93.1%
IND 76, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.96,1,1,1	92.9%