inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 106 Excitement6.4 [570] MVPSerge Ibaka (TOR): +22.6%
Toronto Raptors 114 Comeback1.7 [872] LVPJohn Wall (WAS): -13.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Markieff Morris0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.140.030.041567%0.1300.003100%0.01
Bradley Beal0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.04-0.011754%0.151-0.041100%0.00
Otto Porter Jr.0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.02-0.01764%0.0800.0000%0.00
Mike Scott0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.00-0.031070%0.172-0.0900%0.00
Marcin Gortat0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00967%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Ian Mahinmi-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.010100%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Tim Frazier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.01437%0.052-0.0900%0.00
Tomas Satoransky-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.01325%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
John Wall-0.140,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14-0.08-0.07-0.012046%-0.015-0.131080%-0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.230.230.190.050.011188%0.241-0.024100%0.03
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.100.08-0.02875%0.2000.0000%0.00
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.070.130.001082%0.274-0.08250%-0.00
OG Anunoby0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.01967%0.0700.0000%0.00
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.040.02564%0.071-0.024100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.060.08-0.03955%0.145-0.102100%0.02
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01664%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Lucas Nogueira0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.031745%0.052-0.05475%0.00
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.001100%0.023-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.43.327.515.325.52.537.4139.0
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +40.5%
TOR +7.3%
WAS -8.8%
TOR +8.2%
TOR +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASTORNBAWASTORNBA
this game15.214.014.7107.1117.5107.5
season14.814.6108.2112.7
opponent14.814.7105.9107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.915.117.014.715.2
TOR13.113.113.616.714.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Frazier78-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-6417.615.02.6012.014.2-2.22
Ian Mahinmi66-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-4013.515.3-1.7614.314.00.31
Mike Scott5857-0.16-0.340.19-0.336-142013.517.4-3.9014.513.31.22
John Wall8078-0.16-0.340.18-0.222-101215.015.9-0.9814.512.12.41
Otto Porter Jr.6362-0.18-0.320.15-0.09-3-5215.414.80.5914.513.31.18
Tomas Satoransky2726-0.25-0.250.01-0.07-6-2-414.515.4-0.8712.314.7-2.42
Marcin Gortat5554-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.13-6-2-417.212.64.5313.914.2-0.34
Kelly Oubre Jr.3635-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.18-5-3-214.815.4-0.5913.314.5-1.18
Markieff Morris7977-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.08-124-1615.115.5-0.4413.815.1-1.40
Bradley Beal8482-0.550.05-0.60-0.26-102-1215.314.11.2014.412.32.02

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lucas Nogueira17180.52-0.020.540.2980817.413.34.0214.315.3-1.00
Kyle Lowry75760.470.030.430.2380814.313.30.9415.713.42.29
Pascal Siakam34340.410.090.320.1880813.314.4-1.1514.615.4-0.86
Delon Wright51510.280.220.060.34-210-1215.013.01.9414.016.4-2.42
OG Anunoby44450.260.240.01-0.0711-31413.114.8-1.6616.613.92.74
CJ Miles40420.260.240.010.2317-614.114.00.1914.315.8-1.42
DeMar DeRozan72730.240.26-0.020.0762413.715.0-1.3514.716.5-1.83
Serge Ibaka65670.090.41-0.320.0908-814.413.31.0415.215.00.22
Jonas Valanciunas47470.040.46-0.410.0117-613.214.9-1.6915.914.41.49
Norman Powell910-0.000.50-0.50-0.0317-613.814.1-0.2917.314.92.39
Jakob Poeltl3132-0.070.57-0.63-0.01-210-1213.614.2-0.5814.915.3-0.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 92, BOS 1000.5,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.82,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,192.9%
MIL 87, CLE 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.9,0.98,1,1,192.5%
CHI 84, IND 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,192.4%