NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	96		Excitement	4.9 [841]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (IND): +18.6%
Indiana Pacers	85		Comeback	1.3 [759]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -20.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Delaney	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	6	72%	0.14	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.00	0.02	12	79%	0.13	3	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.03	-0.07	18	47%	0.12	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	7	76%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	6	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	11	37%	-0.01	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	13	29%	-0.08	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.02	-0.01	13	83%	0.19	3	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.02	16	56%	0.11	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	5	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	15	35%	-0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	22	37%	-0.11	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.6	34.0	14.8	28.9	2.7	31.2	134.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +9.2%

ATL +15.9%

ATL +17.6%

ATL +4.1%

ATL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	14.0	14.8	97.0	86.7	107.7
season	14.4	14.9		104.2	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		108.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.5	14.9	15.0	14.5	15.2
IND	15.5	13.3	13.8	13.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	74	76	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.04	20	-9	29	14.8	16.4	-1.55	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Malcolm Delaney	43	44	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.15	26	-15	41	15.5	15.0	0.55	15.2	13.1	2.17
Taurean Prince	32	31	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.15	23	-12	35	13.1	16.2	-3.07	15.4	13.4	1.98
Tim Hardaway Jr.	42	42	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-2	15	15.2	15.2	0.02	16.7	12.1	4.61
Dwight Howard	71	69	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	10	-9	15.5	14.5	1.03	12.8	16.9	-4.02
Mike Muscala	52	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	10	-9	15.3	15.1	0.22	16.0	12.0	4.06
Kent Bazemore	58	57	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	11	-11	15.2	15.1	0.10	11.9	17.0	-5.02
Thabo Sefolosha	70	68	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.40	-14	25	-39	15.6	14.3	1.21	13.3	15.8	-2.50
Dennis Schroder	53	53	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.31	-15	26	-41	15.7	14.6	1.15	13.2	15.0	-1.75

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	72	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.37	10	-21	31	13.0	16.8	-3.78	14.9	16.1	-1.24
Aaron Brooks	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-4	-3	15.0	13.9	1.10	15.3	15.2	0.15
Thaddeus Young	84	85	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-14	17	13.5	16.9	-3.38	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Jeff Teague	80	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-11	11	13.9	14.4	-0.44	15.3	14.7	0.65
Paul George	78	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.25	2	-13	15	13.5	16.2	-2.79	15.5	14.1	1.36
Myles Turner	74	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-11	11	13.4	15.9	-2.44	15.3	14.9	0.43
Lavoy Allen	15	14	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	0.12	-14	3	-17	15.9	13.7	2.25	15.3	15.2	0.10
Glenn Robinson	20	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	2	-15	16.2	13.5	2.79	14.1	15.5	-1.36
Al Jefferson	23	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	0	-11	16.5	13.3	3.20	14.9	15.3	-0.43
Rodney Stuckey	32	32	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.16	-25	14	-39	16.1	13.0	3.11	15.6	15.0	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 81, MIA 71	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.3%
MEM 110, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
DET 105, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.5%