NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	110		Excitement	4.8 [898]		MVP	Earl Watson (MEM): +14.0%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	1.0 [668]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -14.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.04	0.01	5	120%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	-0.00	6	89%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	12	68%	0.09	1	-0.00	10	90%	0.03
Brian Cardinal	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	5	78%	0.11	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	8	53%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Emmett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.02	10	73%	0.14	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	17	41%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	9	59%	0.02	5	-0.10	11	82%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	0.04	8	45%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.04	8	20%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	30.1	15.5	27.4	1.7	31.3	133.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +52.1%

MEM +3.9%

UTA -21.2%

MEM +9.9%

MEM +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	16.0	15.5	125.0	108.0	104.0
season	16.4	16.7		103.7	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.7	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.1	16.2	16.5	18.9	16.9
UTA	15.9	15.1	17.0	16.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	41	40	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.04	19	-3	22	17.3	16.6	0.74	16.8	15.3	1.46
Bonzi Wells	41	41	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.09	20	-4	24	15.3	18.3	-2.96	17.3	14.9	2.38
Earl Watson	41	40	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-1	18	16.4	17.4	-1.00	16.6	15.5	1.18
Shane Battier	74	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-1	18	16.7	17.9	-1.14	15.4	19.0	-3.61
Pau Gasol	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	6	4	17.4	16.2	1.13	15.5	16.7	-1.12
Stromile Swift	33	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	12	-8	15.9	17.5	-1.53	16.1	16.0	0.08
James Posey	59	60	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.10	-1	17	-18	18.4	13.9	4.53	15.9	16.1	-0.20
Lorenzen Wright	41	43	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	11	-6	17.8	16.1	1.61	16.3	15.7	0.58
Jason Williams	47	47	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	17	-18	17.4	16.4	1.00	15.5	16.6	-1.18
Andre Emmett	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	12.0	17.0	-5.01	13.0	16.0	-3.05
Dahntay Jones	10	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	22	-28	12.5	17.5	-4.96	13.2	16.3	-3.04

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	17.2	15.9	1.35	12.3	17.4	-5.08
Raja Bell	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-11	6	15.3	16.8	-1.51	17.0	16.8	0.23
Curtis Borchardt	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-10	4	18.1	15.0	3.10	16.9	16.9	-0.01
Keith McLeod	61	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-13	10	15.7	16.8	-1.14	17.5	15.5	2.04
Gordan Giricek	60	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-11	6	15.7	16.6	-0.90	16.0	18.8	-2.82
Matt Harpring	53	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-12	8	15.3	17.1	-1.82	18.2	14.8	3.42
Raul Lopez	24	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	-4	-8	16.8	15.7	1.13	16.2	17.2	-1.01
Mehmet Okur	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-9	2	16.3	15.7	0.62	16.7	17.2	-0.51
Howard Eisley	23	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	-2	-12	17.9	15.3	2.53	15.6	17.3	-1.74
Andrei Kirilenko	24	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-7	-2	15.4	16.3	-0.88	15.0	17.6	-2.63
Carlos Boozer	61	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	0	-16	15.7	16.8	-1.19	18.2	13.5	4.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 140, TOR 126	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
LAC 94, HOU 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.22,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
PHX 108, HOU 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.05,0.12,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%