NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	140		Excitement	5.2 [789]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +32.6%
Toronto Raptors	126		Comeback	1.0 [674]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (TOR): -11.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.21	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.05	-0.02	12	80%	0.26	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.06	0.00	14	68%	0.20	1	-0.00	10	80%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.22	0.02	0.07	15	80%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.04	0.05	8	94%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Jones	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	8	70%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	16	58%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Eddie House	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.07	11	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.32	0.06	0.06	19	84%	0.35	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.06	25	60%	0.15	4	-0.10	10	100%	0.05
Pape Sow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	9	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Darrick Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	15	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	10	20%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	30.5	17.6	26.3	2.5	29.2	133.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.0%

TOR -2.6%

TOR -7.2%

PHX +15.7%

TOR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	15.6	138.6	124.8	104.4
season	13.8	15.6		110.2	107.3
opponent	15.4	16.1		110.5	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.0	12.8	15.7	17.4	14.0
TOR	14.3	15.3	15.0	13.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	77	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-1	16	14.8	11.5	3.28	14.8	13.3	1.52
Leandro Barbosa	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	6	2	14.4	13.3	1.14	14.2	15.0	-0.75
Tim Thomas	40	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	4	6	12.9	14.8	-1.80	13.2	15.3	-2.11
Shawn Marion	83	82	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	5	4	14.5	12.0	2.48	14.9	12.5	2.47
Eddie House	29	31	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	3	8	13.6	14.2	-0.68	13.1	15.1	-1.99
Raja Bell	83	83	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	8	-2	13.5	16.4	-2.86	14.2	15.6	-1.38
Steve Nash	72	70	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	11	-8	14.2	13.6	0.68	15.1	13.1	1.99
James Jones	53	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.11	8	6	2	13.4	14.8	-1.43	14.9	14.0	0.93

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	9.3	14.6	-5.30	16.7	14.0	2.71
Charlie Villanueva	42	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-14	14	16.3	13.2	3.14	13.7	14.3	-0.52
Pape Sow	71	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-12	10	14.2	15.2	-1.08	14.2	13.7	0.50
Jose Calderon	34	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-7	0	14.1	14.6	-0.49	14.5	13.8	0.77
Eric Williams	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	-4	-6	16.1	14.0	2.16	13.8	14.1	-0.27
Andre Barrett	62	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-10	6	14.0	15.3	-1.27	14.9	12.7	2.22
Joey Graham	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-7	0	14.2	14.6	-0.40	13.6	14.4	-0.76
Mike James	92	93	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-6	-2	14.3	16.6	-2.28	14.1	13.1	0.99
Matt Bonner	35	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	4	-22	13.8	14.8	-1.03	12.5	14.8	-2.35
Morris Peterson	98	98	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	-1	-12	14.6	9.3	5.30	14.0	16.7	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 105, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%
LAL 103, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
GSW 115, LAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%