NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	4.3 [759]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +21.7%
New Jersey Nets	87		Comeback	1.2 [973]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (NJN): -13.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.07	-0.00	8	88%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	82%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	72%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	13	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Craig Brackins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Louis Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	11	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	4	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	7	62%	0.10	2	-0.06	12	83%	0.03
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	14	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Armon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	15	37%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.0	29.2	20.6	27.2	1.7	28.3	132.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +51.3%

NJN -10.2%

NJN -5.5%

PHI +14.2%

PHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	16.9	15.6	116.7	100.0	102.8
season	15.6	16.2		101.0	101.3
opponent	15.2	16.1		107.6	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	14.7	13.5	20.6	15.7
NJN	18.9	17.3	16.0	15.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	74	73	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.04	19	-1	20	16.0	14.1	1.90	17.3	14.4	2.91
Evan Turner	40	39	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	8	2	15.0	16.3	-1.29	15.4	18.1	-2.75
Spencer Hawes	33	32	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	9	0	16.0	15.5	0.49	16.6	17.1	-0.49
Louis Williams	53	52	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	4	10	16.2	15.0	1.12	16.0	18.1	-2.08
Thaddeus Young	47	46	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	9	0	16.5	14.8	1.72	16.1	17.8	-1.67
Jodie Meeks	41	39	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	7	4	14.0	17.1	-3.01	17.3	16.5	0.83
Elton Brand	53	51	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.16	11	7	4	15.9	15.4	0.57	17.4	16.2	1.16
Lavoy Allen	37	36	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.08	5	13	-8	14.7	16.4	-1.67	18.0	16.1	1.92
Jrue Holiday	66	62	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	14	-10	15.8	15.5	0.26	17.3	15.9	1.39
Craig Brackins	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	19.0	15.6	3.39	11.5	17.0	-5.50
Nikola Vucevic	4	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	21	-24	18.2	15.6	2.68	22.7	16.7	6.00

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Williams	43	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.21	-10	-8	-2	17.5	16.3	1.17	15.1	16.2	-1.11
DeShawn Stevenson	23	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-18	18	17.2	16.8	0.41	17.9	14.9	2.98
Armon Johnson	41	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-9	0	16.4	17.3	-0.91	16.2	15.2	0.99
MarShon Brooks	61	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-10	2	17.0	16.5	0.53	16.0	15.0	1.01
Sundiata Gaines	23	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	-6	-6	17.3	16.7	0.64	13.7	16.3	-2.66
Anthony Morrow	30	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-4	-10	15.8	17.4	-1.64	14.2	16.5	-2.28
Johan Petro	37	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-9	0	16.4	17.2	-0.86	15.8	15.6	0.19
Kris Humphries	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-7	-4	17.1	16.5	0.62	15.1	16.6	-1.50
Gerald Green	50	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-8	-2	16.6	17.2	-0.64	16.4	14.8	1.53
Gerald Wallace	70	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-11	4	17.1	15.8	1.38	15.9	14.7	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 140, TOR 126	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
BOS 85, DET 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
CLE 84, NJN 62	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%