NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	4.6 [889]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +7.7%
Houston Rockets	83		Comeback	1.0 [330]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -18.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	21	59%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	15	71%	0.14	5	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Marko Jaric	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tremaine Fowlkes	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	11	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	17	53%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	67%	0.05	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.02
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	12	37%	-0.06	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.05
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.05	-0.03	18	34%	-0.11	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	0.8	28.2	16.5	25.4	2.4	31.7	126.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +22.5%

HOU -1.9%

LAC +16.3%

LAC +9.6%

LAC +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	17.2	15.4	15.5	106.8	93.3	101.6
season	15.4	16.3		100.2	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		100.4	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.7	17.8	16.3	19.0	17.2
HOU	17.8	13.7	15.7	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	81	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-4	19	17.0	19.1	-2.12	15.5	14.2	1.27
Elton Brand	83	84	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-3	17	17.2	16.4	0.84	15.7	9.8	5.89
Tremaine Fowlkes	62	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	2	7	16.7	18.3	-1.64	15.7	14.6	1.15
Michael Olowokandi	67	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	1	9	16.9	18.0	-1.12	16.0	13.6	2.42
Marko Jaric	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	1	9	17.0	17.7	-0.68	16.3	12.8	3.46
Quentin Richardson	43	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	10	-9	18.3	16.1	2.17	14.0	16.7	-2.71
Wang Zhi-zhi	21	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	10	-9	18.0	16.9	1.12	13.6	16.0	-2.42
Keyon Dooling	13	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	17.8	17.1	0.68	13.2	15.8	-2.60
Chris Wilcox	5	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	14	-17	16.4	17.2	-0.84	9.8	15.7	-5.89

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juaquin Hawkins	19	19	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-16	21	13.2	16.0	-2.80	18.1	16.9	1.16
Terence Morris	32	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-9	7	13.2	16.6	-3.34	17.0	17.3	-0.24
Moochie Norris	32	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-9	7	13.2	16.6	-3.34	17.0	17.3	-0.24
Yao Ming	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-7	3	16.1	13.6	2.52	17.5	16.5	0.94
Kelvin Cato	26	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	13.6	16.1	-2.52	16.5	17.5	-0.94
Eddie Griffin	57	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	16.6	13.2	3.34	17.3	17.0	0.24
Steve Francis	78	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-3	-5	15.5	14.6	0.83	17.3	16.7	0.51
Glen Rice	65	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.08	-13	2	-15	16.0	13.7	2.32	17.0	17.8	-0.83
Cuttino Mobley	73	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	4	-19	16.2	11.5	4.71	17.1	17.5	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.22,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, MIN 77	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.2%
OKC 119, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
IND 109, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.7%