inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 105 Excitement4.8 [843] MVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): +17.4%
Chicago Bulls 89 Comeback1.0 [551] LVPJamal Crawford (CHI): -17.5%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.04-0.00675%0.1100.0000%0.00
Mehmet Okur0.060,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.02-0.01664%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Chauncey Billups0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.00-0.041255%0.051-0.007100%0.04
Tayshaun Prince0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.001256%0.082-0.051100%0.00
Darvin Ham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00280%0.031-0.0310%-0.01
Darko Milicic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.02-0.001055%0.021-0.0420%-0.01
Bob Sura-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01050%0.001-0.02250%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.03533%-0.031-0.002100%0.01
Corliss Williamson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.01-0.061431%-0.0300.00450%-0.01
Richard Hamilton-0.160,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.04-0.060.061952%-0.073-0.098100%0.03

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.140.03-0.011090%0.202-0.021100%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.001060%0.0600.0000%0.00
Eddie Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.01-0.041250%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Rick Brunson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Fizer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.01-0.02643%0.0000.002100%0.00
Ronald Dupree0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.010.01856%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Kendall Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00540%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Eddy Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.00325%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.02735%-0.0700.00617%-0.07
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.12-0.07-0.022032%-0.141-0.041100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.427.015.423.11.832.2123.1
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +12.7%
DET +19.5%
DET +27.8%
CHI -13.5%
DET +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHINBADETCHINBA
this game17.615.515.7119.3103.5100.5
season16.215.299.294.6
opponent15.416.0101.392.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET20.317.317.016.417.6
CHI18.616.215.012.915.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton71700.57-0.070.64-0.2528-124017.518.0-0.4815.615.00.57
Ben Wallace72700.53-0.030.560.0018-22017.916.31.5915.515.20.26
Tayshaun Prince69680.52-0.020.53-0.1021-52617.517.9-0.3615.714.61.08
Chauncey Billups62630.350.150.190.1479-217.517.8-0.3315.415.7-0.26
Mehmet Okur33320.240.26-0.020.0088017.717.60.0815.715.40.30
Corliss Williamson44420.230.27-0.050.14313-1016.918.3-1.4114.116.8-2.72
Chucky Atkins30280.130.37-0.240.13016-1618.517.21.2914.915.7-0.85
Elden Campbell20200.010.49-0.480.07-218-2017.917.50.4417.914.73.17
Darko Milicic440.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1217.017.6-0.6413.215.6-2.32
Darvin Ham2121-0.020.52-0.540.07-319-2218.317.40.8815.115.6-0.43
Bob Sura1412-0.040.54-0.590.02-218-2016.417.9-1.4916.615.31.30

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rick Brunson760.01-0.510.51-0.083-192213.015.7-2.6819.317.51.85
Marcus Fizer1919-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-171811.216.7-5.4615.718.1-2.39
Eddy Curry2122-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-182018.114.63.4818.817.21.61
Eddie Robinson4042-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-11614.116.6-2.5117.018.2-1.27
Kendall Gill3031-0.21-0.290.080.02-8-8016.115.10.9217.717.50.20
Jerome Williams5760-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.05-8-8016.214.12.1118.016.91.11
Jamal Crawford6871-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-10-6-415.415.8-0.4717.617.50.18
Scottie Pippen2120-0.33-0.17-0.160.05-13-3-1017.015.02.0918.017.50.56
Ronald Dupree4241-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.04-10-6-415.015.9-0.8217.018.1-1.10
Kirk Hinrich7073-0.35-0.15-0.210.03-13-3-1015.216.6-1.3517.319.0-1.67
Antonio Davis5555-0.500.00-0.500.06-193-2216.314.02.3418.316.51.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 97, MEM 790.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,095.4%
SEA 87, SAS 750.5,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.4%
PHI 112, ATL 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%