NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	91		Excitement	8.7 [182]		MVP	David Lee (SAS): +16.2%
San Antonio Spurs	96		Comeback	3.3 [926]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): -28.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Salah Mejri	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	44%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.12	-0.03	13	61%	0.18	4	-0.24	7	71%	-0.12
Seth Curry	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,-0.03,-0.1	0.09	-0.18	0.01	16	70%	0.16	4	-0.26	1	0%	-0.04
Justin Anderson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.28	-0.03	-0.24	0.01	18	50%	-0.17	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	10	57%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	19	52%	0.15	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	11	65%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	13	57%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	3	67%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.13	0.02	4	50%	-0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	28.3	15.5	25.6	2.5	34.4	130.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +8.2%

SAS +12.8%

DAL -13.8%

SAS +43.7%

DAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	14.8	98.9	105.5	107.7
season	16.2	15.4		104.4	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.7		103.7	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.2	15.0	15.4	16.4	16.2
SAS	15.4	15.7	16.6	13.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	51	51	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-8	11	16.4	15.9	0.45	16.0	14.4	1.51
Nicolas Brussino	26	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	15.4	16.5	-1.05	14.4	15.7	-1.32
Seth Curry	69	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-9	13	16.4	15.4	0.99	15.1	15.8	-0.65
Harrison Barnes	79	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-10	15	16.0	17.2	-1.23	15.7	12.6	3.13
Wesley Matthews	75	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.33	2	-7	9	16.4	15.1	1.37	15.7	13.6	2.03
Justin Anderson	30	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	3	-11	16.5	16.0	0.43	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Salah Mejri	60	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-3	1	16.4	15.7	0.79	14.6	16.7	-2.04
Dwight Powell	38	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	8	-21	16.0	16.3	-0.30	16.0	14.9	1.10
Jonathan Gibson	32	31	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.37	-13	8	-21	15.2	16.7	-1.51	14.2	15.9	-1.67

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	54	55	1.05	-0.55	1.61	0.41	22	-17	39	14.9	15.8	-0.91	17.3	14.6	2.69
David Lee	50	52	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.57	12	-7	19	15.6	15.0	0.58	16.3	15.9	0.40
Patty Mills	57	60	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.46	14	-9	23	14.7	16.3	-1.59	15.8	16.9	-1.17
Manu Ginobili	48	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	2	1	15.1	15.5	-0.45	15.0	17.6	-2.66
Kawhi Leonard	61	63	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.32	-7	12	-19	15.6	14.6	0.99	17.0	14.4	2.57
Kyle Anderson	24	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	8	-11	15.8	15.1	0.73	16.4	16.1	0.26
Jonathon Simmons	18	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	5	-5	14.9	15.4	-0.51	13.6	16.8	-3.20
Bryn Forbes	21	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	10	-15	15.9	15.1	0.79	14.1	16.7	-2.65
Dejounte Murray	29	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	10	-15	15.6	15.1	0.48	17.1	15.8	1.38
Pau Gasol	55	53	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.20	-1	6	-7	15.6	14.8	0.86	16.2	16.1	0.08
Davis Bertans	38	36	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.12	-5	10	-15	14.9	15.6	-0.69	16.8	15.8	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,1	92.0%
NJN 85, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.85,0.96,1	91.7%
NJN 99, TOR 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.97,1,1	91.7%