inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 91 Excitement8.7 [182] MVPDavid Lee (SAS): +16.2%
San Antonio Spurs 96 Comeback3.3 [926] LVPHarrison Barnes (DAL): -28.1%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Salah Mejri0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.00580%0.122-0.0800%0.00
Jonathan Gibson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.04-0.00644%0.0300.00475%0.00
Nicolas Brussino0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.030.00550%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Dwight Powell-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.060.03-0.12-0.031361%0.184-0.24771%-0.12
Seth Curry-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,-0.03,-0.10.09-0.180.011670%0.164-0.2610%-0.04
Justin Anderson-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.01-0.00731%-0.034-0.10250%-0.01
Harrison Barnes-0.280,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.28-0.03-0.240.011850%-0.173-0.12450%-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.060.10-0.001057%0.1600.0010%-0.02
Kawhi Leonard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.04-0.021952%0.151-0.03887%0.03
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.120.120.060.06-0.001165%0.162-0.04475%-0.02
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.001100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.040.04-0.000.04-0.00657%0.092-0.052100%0.05
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.010.00350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.00350%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.050.001357%0.023-0.07250%-0.02
Jonathon Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.0020%-0.061-0.0220%-0.03
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.030.01367%0.004-0.1000%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14-0.140.01-0.130.02450%-0.1400.00683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.52.428.315.525.62.534.4130.2
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +8.2%
SAS +12.8%
DAL -13.8%
SAS +43.7%
DAL -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game16.215.314.898.9105.5107.7
season16.215.4104.4110.1
opponent14.814.7103.7107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL18.215.015.416.416.2
SAS15.415.716.613.615.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorian Finney-Smith51510.11-0.610.710.023-81116.415.90.4516.014.41.51
Nicolas Brussino2627-0.12-0.380.25-0.04-3-2-115.416.5-1.0514.415.7-1.32
Seth Curry6968-0.15-0.350.21-0.264-91316.415.40.9915.115.8-0.65
Harrison Barnes7979-0.20-0.300.09-0.355-101516.017.2-1.2315.712.63.13
Wesley Matthews7574-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.332-7916.415.11.3715.713.62.03
Justin Anderson3028-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.08-83-1116.516.00.4315.015.4-0.38
Salah Mejri6062-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.29-2-3116.415.70.7914.616.7-2.04
Dwight Powell3835-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.06-138-2116.016.3-0.3016.014.91.10
Jonathan Gibson3231-0.750.25-1.01-0.37-138-2115.216.7-1.5114.215.9-1.67

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green54551.05-0.551.610.4122-173914.915.8-0.9117.314.62.69
David Lee50520.92-0.421.350.5712-71915.615.00.5816.315.90.40
Patty Mills57600.87-0.371.230.4614-92314.716.3-1.5915.816.9-1.17
Manu Ginobili48500.320.180.140.2332115.115.5-0.4515.017.6-2.66
Kawhi Leonard61630.120.38-0.260.32-712-1915.614.60.9917.014.42.57
Kyle Anderson24250.060.44-0.380.15-38-1115.815.10.7316.416.10.26
Jonathon Simmons1819-0.020.52-0.54-0.0205-514.915.4-0.5113.616.8-3.20
Bryn Forbes2120-0.150.65-0.80-0.00-510-1515.915.10.7914.116.7-2.65
Dejounte Murray2927-0.190.69-0.88-0.04-510-1515.615.10.4817.115.81.38
Pau Gasol5553-0.220.72-0.95-0.20-16-715.614.80.8616.216.10.08
Davis Bertans3836-0.260.76-1.03-0.12-510-1514.915.6-0.6916.815.81.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 99, BOS 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,192.0%
NJN 85, MIA 910.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.85,0.96,191.7%
NJN 99, TOR 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.97,1,191.7%