inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 94 Excitement9.3 [122] MVPAl Horford (BOS): +52.6%
Detroit Pistons 92 Comeback2.9 [289] LVPJae Crowder (BOS): -19.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0.530,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.530.100.43-0.001269%0.541-0.022100%0.01
Avery Bradley0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.150.050.100.011065%0.181-0.0200%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.040.004112%0.161-0.0400%0.00
Isaiah Thomas0.130,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.16,-0.01,0.130.010.11-0.012245%0.1300.00989%0.07
Terry Rozier0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.030.08-0.00362%0.1100.002100%0.03
Jaylen Brown0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00283%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Kelly Olynyk0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00383%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Zeller0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.020.00333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.00520%-0.051-0.0600%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18-0.11-0.09-0.01911%-0.1800.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.200,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2-0.04-0.140.02945%-0.132-0.072100%0.02

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.30.300.060.250.011653%0.3000.004100%0.03
Marcus Morris0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.150.150.16-0.000.011675%0.181-0.0300%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.06-0.00567%0.1100.002100%0.02
Ish Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.05-0.011055%0.1000.002100%0.02
Andre Drummond0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.090.090.030.080.011653%0.111-0.02633%-0.10
Reggie Bullock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.00550%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0.02,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.040.00725%-0.081-0.03250%-0.01
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.07-0.0270%-0.1500.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19-0.19-0.10-0.09-0.0040%-0.122-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.31.727.016.024.22.429.4127.0
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +20.2%
BOS +25.1%
BOS +1.3%
DET -2.5%
BOS +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSDETNBABOSDETNBA
this game16.116.214.8106.8102.2107.7
season14.715.0110.1105.0
opponent15.114.9106.4108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.616.015.217.916.1
DET16.315.316.117.216.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford63650.85-0.351.190.3517-153215.816.9-1.0816.515.41.07
Avery Bradley64650.65-0.150.800.534-2616.315.70.6016.814.62.18
Jae Crowder47500.480.020.460.393-1416.915.31.5116.316.10.11
Marcus Smart58570.400.100.300.313-1415.916.6-0.7415.517.4-1.92
Isaiah Thomas65680.300.200.100.213-1416.116.3-0.2115.817.5-1.77
Terry Rozier29280.200.30-0.090.1520215.016.7-1.7616.516.10.47
Jonas Jerebko33350.130.37-0.25-0.025-3816.116.2-0.0915.716.5-0.77
Amir Johnson3636-0.020.52-0.550.27-1012-2216.316.00.2716.915.71.18
Tyler Zeller88-0.030.53-0.550.00-13-413.416.4-3.0511.916.6-4.76
Jaylen Brown1314-0.200.70-0.90-0.05-57-1217.815.91.9916.116.2-0.08
Kelly Olynyk2424-0.260.76-1.020.06-1113-2417.215.81.4017.315.81.47

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Bullock41390.15-0.650.81-0.088-101815.516.8-1.3715.716.5-0.77
Beno Udrih2828-0.10-0.400.29-0.255-71216.816.00.8316.516.00.57
Marcus Morris5958-0.13-0.370.24-0.378-101816.216.20.0817.114.32.75
Jon Leuer4039-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-64-1016.316.10.2515.716.5-0.82
Andre Drummond5757-0.20-0.300.10-0.231-3417.114.62.4916.116.3-0.22
Aron Baynes3331-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.21-31-414.617.1-2.4916.316.10.22
Ish Smith6260-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.19-75-1216.016.8-0.8316.016.5-0.57
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope4949-0.650.15-0.81-0.36-108-1816.815.51.3716.515.70.77
Tobias Harris8179-0.680.18-0.85-0.50-64-1016.117.0-0.8815.720.2-4.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.71,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 102, CHI 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.43,0.26,091.2%
CHI 101, UTA 1000.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.2,0.22,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.58,091.1%
DEN 106, OKC 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.41,0.1,090.9%