NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	102		Excitement	9.2 [124]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +27.2%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	2.9 [230]		LVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): -29.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.26	0.10	0.16	0.00	10	63%	0.26	0	0.00	7	71%	0.05
Spencer Hawes	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	6	87%	0.22	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	16	63%	0.19	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.03
Jeremy Lamb	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.00	10	45%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.05	-0.06	12	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	16	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
PJ Hairston	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27	0.27	0.04	0.20	-0.03	18	54%	0.34	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.12	-0.01	9	72%	0.24	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.04	-0.17	0.01	17	54%	-0.08	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.14	0.02	14	43%	-0.17	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29	-0.29	-0.09	-0.19	0.02	11	29%	-0.26	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.2	25.7	16.4	26.2	2.7	34.5	129.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +34.7%

CHA +14.2%

CHI -6.1%

CHA +5.3%

CHA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	14.9	105.2	99.0	105.1
season	15.1	14.8		105.5	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.8		105.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.2	16.8	14.3	15.1	15.3
CHI	14.8	14.5	12.3	16.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	72	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.32	10	-4	14	15.3	15.3	0.07	13.9	15.7	-1.83
Cody Zeller	66	65	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-3	12	15.2	15.6	-0.37	14.0	15.2	-1.23
Jeremy Lin	54	53	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	0	6	15.4	15.3	0.13	13.9	14.9	-0.92
Marvin Williams	62	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	1	4	15.2	15.6	-0.47	15.4	12.3	3.12
Jeremy Lamb	42	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	6	-6	15.7	15.0	0.72	16.1	13.0	3.06
Kemba Walker	79	79	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	4	-2	15.0	16.7	-1.64	13.8	16.9	-3.10
Spencer Hawes	44	43	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	7	-8	15.7	15.0	0.64	14.9	13.9	1.02
PJ Hairston	38	40	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	1	4	15.2	15.4	-0.28	14.7	14.1	0.66
Tyler Hansbrough	5	6	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	4	-2	17.8	15.2	2.60	11.8	14.5	-2.69
Frank Kaminsky	23	21	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	14	-22	15.3	15.3	-0.03	12.6	14.9	-2.28

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	26	26	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-11	16	15.5	14.0	1.50	16.1	15.0	1.07
E'Twaun Moore	24	22	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	-4	2	16.6	13.6	3.01	17.3	14.8	2.51
Taj Gibson	39	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-8	10	15.9	13.3	2.53	15.6	15.1	0.54
Joakim Noah	43	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-6	6	14.5	14.3	0.23	15.6	15.1	0.45
Tony Snell	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-3	0	15.1	14.1	1.02	15.7	15.2	0.56
Doug McDermott	67	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-5	4	14.3	14.5	-0.15	15.0	16.1	-1.10
Pau Gasol	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	0	-6	14.3	14.5	-0.23	15.1	15.6	-0.45
Nikola Mirotic	58	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	2	-10	13.3	15.9	-2.53	15.1	15.6	-0.54
Jimmy Butler	79	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	0	-6	13.5	18.2	-4.74	14.9	17.1	-2.17
Derrick Rose	71	71	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	5	-16	14.0	15.5	-1.50	15.0	16.1	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.43,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.26,0	91.3%
GSW 89, DEN 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.11,0.22,0.15,0	91.2%
BOS 94, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.71,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.42,0	91.2%