NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	82		Excitement	7.5 [357]		MVP	Damjan Rudez (ORL): +21.7%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	1.2 [958]		LVP	Jeff Green (ORL): -15.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	12	60%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Terrence Jones	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	20	55%	0.10	1	-0.04	7	86%	-0.04
Buddy Hield	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	53%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Archie Goodwin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	39%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Solomon Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	8	33%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	16	41%	-0.05	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Tim Frazier	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.09	0.00	5	110%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.03	0.10	-0.02	11	40%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	10	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	13	62%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.05	0.06	0.00	12	38%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	-0.02	13	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.02
Elfrid Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	9	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	30.8	14.8	26.8	2.7	33.6	134.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +31.8%

NOP -7.1%

ORL +6.7%

ORL +22.4%

NOP -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ORL	NBA	NOP	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.2	14.8	85.4	90.8	107.7
season	14.1	14.6		104.1	103.0
opponent	14.9	15.0		109.8	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.0	15.5	13.0	18.0	15.5
ORL	14.0	11.8	15.8	15.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	66	65	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.15	6	-13	19	14.7	17.3	-2.65	15.3	12.1	3.17
Omer Asik	41	41	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-10	13	16.0	15.1	0.94	13.2	14.9	-1.63
Archie Goodwin	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-5	3	15.4	15.5	-0.12	10.2	14.6	-4.45
Tim Frazier	57	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-4	1	15.6	15.4	0.17	13.7	15.0	-1.32
E'Twaun Moore	63	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-9	11	16.2	14.2	2.07	13.8	14.9	-1.14
Solomon Hill	42	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	3	-13	15.0	15.9	-0.99	14.4	14.1	0.33
Langston Galloway	40	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	15.1	15.8	-0.66	14.6	13.9	0.79
Terrence Jones	74	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	16.3	12.9	3.43	14.1	14.3	-0.18
Buddy Hield	39	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	4	-15	14.8	16.0	-1.12	15.1	13.5	1.62
Alexis Ajinca	48	52	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.30	-11	4	-15	15.3	15.7	-0.35	14.3	14.1	0.16

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	54	51	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-5	17	14.9	13.4	1.51	15.5	15.5	-0.04
CJ Watson	31	32	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-4	15	14.0	14.3	-0.28	16.0	15.3	0.69
Bismack Biyombo	54	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	1	5	14.2	14.1	0.10	14.5	16.6	-2.13
Serge Ibaka	58	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	6	-5	14.4	13.9	0.41	16.2	14.4	1.80
Elfrid Payton	61	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	7	-7	13.9	14.7	-0.77	16.1	14.6	1.59
D.J. Augustin	37	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	0	7	14.7	13.9	0.77	14.6	16.1	-1.59
Nikola Vucevic	54	54	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	5	-3	13.8	14.7	-0.93	16.8	13.9	2.85
Damjan Rudez	30	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	3	1	14.5	14.0	0.49	14.0	16.2	-2.25
Evan Fournier	70	68	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	11	-15	14.3	14.0	0.22	15.1	16.5	-1.40
Jeff Green	41	42	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	11	-15	13.3	14.8	-1.47	15.6	15.5	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.77,0.83,0.65,0.6,0.8,0.85,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 80, SAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,1	93.4%
MIA 80, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.86,0.85,1	91.9%
HOU 100, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.89,0.95,1,1	91.6%