NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	6.9 [406]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +39.6%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	1.5 [399]		LVP	Chase Budinger (HOU): -17.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.40	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.21	0.19	0.01	11	92%	0.42	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Trevor Ariza	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.15	-0.03	0.05	21	61%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	13	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
David Andersen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	9	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Carl Landry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.02	16	56%	0.04	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Chase Budinger	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	8	12%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.01	15	73%	0.24	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	15	67%	0.22	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.04
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.06	0.01	12	52%	0.11	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	17	56%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	0.01	-0.00	11	25%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	28.4	14.7	28.3	2.4	30.3	129.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.2%

SAC +11.0%

SAC +24.2%

HOU -18.5%

HOU -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	15.2	15.3	102.0	110.1	106.0
season	15.0	15.2		106.0	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.5	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.8	13.9	15.7	12.5	14.0
SAC	13.3	13.2	15.6	19.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	53	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-7	5	14.1	13.8	0.27	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Charles Hayes	65	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-11	13	14.5	13.0	1.45	16.0	13.8	2.25
David Andersen	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-1	-7	13.6	14.0	-0.43	13.2	15.6	-2.40
Trevor Ariza	90	89	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-9	9	14.0	13.7	0.26	15.4	14.0	1.38
Luis Scola	82	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-6	3	14.0	13.7	0.36	15.3	15.1	0.21
Chase Budinger	33	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	1	-11	13.2	14.4	-1.17	14.5	15.6	-1.05
Carl Landry	36	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	0	-9	13.1	14.5	-1.39	14.5	15.7	-1.12
Shane Battier	73	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	14.3	13.0	1.28	15.4	14.8	0.60
Kyle Lowry	45	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	13.8	14.1	-0.27	15.6	14.9	0.70

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	44	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-1	11	15.3	15.2	0.05	13.8	14.1	-0.32
Kenny Thomas	41	39	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	-1	11	16.0	14.7	1.21	13.5	14.3	-0.83
Beno Udrih	83	83	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	0	9	14.8	17.6	-2.77	14.2	13.0	1.17
Jason Thompson	76	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	1	7	15.2	15.4	-0.25	14.5	12.2	2.37
Spencer Hawes	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	6	-3	15.9	14.4	1.54	13.7	14.4	-0.68
Andres Nocioni	58	59	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.11	3	6	-3	14.9	15.7	-0.84	14.0	13.9	0.07
Donte Greene	12	12	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	3	3	10.2	15.9	-5.78	15.0	13.8	1.15
Tyreke Evans	81	80	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.23	-3	12	-15	15.9	12.5	3.35	13.6	15.6	-1.99
Jon Brockman	24	24	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	6	-3	14.4	15.5	-1.09	15.0	13.6	1.39
Omri Casspi	22	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	16.4	14.9	1.44	13.0	14.3	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.89,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 71, LAL 82	0.5,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	92.7%
MIN 84, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.97,1,1,1	92.7%
LAL 105, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.65,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.84,1	92.7%