NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	119		Excitement	9.3 [120]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (ORL): +54.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Comeback	9.9 [82]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -20.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.54	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.54	0.20	0.36	0.02	19	76%	0.59	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0.41	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.41	0.13	0.28	-0.00	10	87%	0.58	3	-0.17	4	100%	0.04
Elfrid Payton	0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25	0.10	0.16	0.01	19	57%	0.25	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.09
D.J. Augustin	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.01	5	75%	0.24	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.04
Jeff Green	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.01	8	61%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	9	63%	0.16	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.14	-0.02	10	20%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.09,0.3,0.38,0.36	0.36	0.23	0.17	0.04	21	68%	0.41	2	-0.05	18	72%	-0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.19	-0.00	4	112%	0.32	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.01	11	56%	0.13	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	13	57%	0.16	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	9	67%	0.16	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	6	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	32.4	15.4	28.8	2.0	31.6	137.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +70.5%

OKC -6.4%

OKC -6.0%

OKC -10.0%

ORL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	OKC	NBA	ORL	OKC	NBA
this game	15.8	14.0	14.8	122.7	121.9	107.7
season	14.6	14.0		103.0	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.9		106.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.5	15.3	16.7	15.8	15.8
OKC	17.2	11.8	13.9	13.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	35	37	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.52	11	-9	20	16.6	15.4	1.23	16.1	12.7	3.31
CJ Watson	16	16	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-11	24	15.1	16.0	-0.83	14.6	13.9	0.72
Evan Fournier	71	71	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.46	-3	5	-8	16.0	15.3	0.74	14.4	12.9	1.49
Jeff Green	54	54	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.39	-1	3	-4	16.1	15.4	0.75	14.6	13.3	1.22
Damjan Rudez	20	20	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	-9	20	14.8	16.1	-1.28	14.3	13.9	0.35
Serge Ibaka	74	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.44	-6	8	-14	16.3	14.3	2.04	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Elfrid Payton	74	73	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.38	-8	10	-18	16.4	14.0	2.38	14.1	13.7	0.48
D.J. Augustin	33	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	-2	6	14.5	16.5	-2.06	12.9	14.5	-1.60
Aaron Gordon	46	45	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	4	-6	15.1	16.5	-1.38	13.2	14.8	-1.59
Bismack Biyombo	62	59	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.08	-9	11	-20	15.4	16.6	-1.23	12.7	16.1	-3.31

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	46	49	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-6	10	13.6	14.4	-0.75	15.6	16.0	-0.45
Nick Collison	11	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-5	8	12.6	14.2	-1.56	14.2	16.0	-1.80
Kyle Singler	1	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	4.0	14.1	-10.13	12.5	15.9	-3.38
Alex Abrines	39	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	0	-2	13.6	14.3	-0.64	14.8	16.5	-1.77
Domantas Sabonis	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	2	-6	15.2	13.4	1.88	16.8	15.3	1.54
Andre Roberson	63	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.46	11	-13	24	14.2	13.7	0.45	16.6	14.4	2.20
Russell Westbrook	75	76	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-11	20	13.8	14.7	-0.83	16.3	14.1	2.13
Victor Oladipo	61	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.46	4	-6	10	14.3	13.6	0.66	16.4	14.9	1.43
Semaj Christon	21	21	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	9	-20	14.7	13.8	0.83	14.1	16.3	-2.13
Jerami Grant	28	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	14	-30	14.0	14.0	0.02	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Steven Adams	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.57	4	-6	10	14.0	14.0	0.03	16.1	15.0	1.14
Joffrey Lauvergne	32	31	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	9	-20	13.7	14.2	-0.41	14.8	16.3	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.31,0.42,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.62,0.32,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.45,0.67,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 97, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.33,0.69,0.71,0.45,0.72,0	90.0%
LAL 99, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.78,0.9,0.84,0	89.1%
CLE 97, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.37,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.72,0	88.9%