NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	9.5 [70]		MVP	Derek Anderson (CLE): +6.8%
Toronto Raptors	96		Comeback	20.9 [73]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -56.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	3	40%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.14
Vitaly Potapenko	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	74%	0.16	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.04
Wesley Person	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Bob Sura	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Carl Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	16	52%	0.12	6	-0.19	1	100%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.57	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.38,-0.42,-0.57	-0.18	-0.40	-0.01	15	41%	-0.36	3	-0.21	16	56%	-0.18

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	17	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Chris Garner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	2	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	5	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	14	40%	0.00	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	7	14%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.23	-0.23	-0.01	-0.24	-0.02	14	59%	-0.21	2	-0.02	16	87%	0.11
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.36	-0.36	-0.16	-0.21	-0.00	15	50%	-0.02	6	-0.34	14	71%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	26.5	15.3	24.4	1.8	45.4	140.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +68.4%

TOR -25.9%

CLE +4.9%

TOR -5.1%

CLE +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.6	101.0	102.1	102.5
season	15.4	15.5		99.4	98.7
opponent	14.8	16.0		108.2	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	16.8	16.2	13.6	15.4
TOR	14.6	16.7	15.1	13.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	36	36	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.80	2	-1	3	15.6	15.3	0.32	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Shawn Kemp	62	61	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.51	7	-6	13	15.2	15.6	-0.41	15.6	13.6	1.99
Wesley Person	81	78	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.42	9	-8	17	15.2	16.5	-1.36	15.6	11.9	3.68
Brevin Knight	67	65	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.49	2	-1	3	14.9	16.6	-1.67	14.4	16.1	-1.75
Bob Sura	51	51	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.54	-4	5	-9	15.2	15.6	-0.45	14.1	15.9	-1.72
Vitaly Potapenko	29	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	-3	7	14.2	15.9	-1.74	15.6	14.7	0.92
Cedric Henderson	51	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	-2	5	15.5	15.2	0.27	15.7	14.1	1.57
Carl Thomas	5	5	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	7	-13	17.8	15.3	2.55	9.0	15.3	-6.26
Danny Ferry	18	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	7	-13	18.2	14.7	3.42	13.4	15.3	-1.92
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	80	79	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	-0.34	-6	7	-13	15.8	13.5	2.26	14.9	15.2	-0.33

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	40	41	0.47	-0.97	1.43	0.26	7	-8	15	13.8	15.7	-1.92	15.8	15.1	0.73
Oliver Miller	24	25	0.47	-0.97	1.43	0.05	14	-15	29	16.6	14.4	2.23	14.7	15.6	-0.95
Chris Garner	28	29	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.18	2	-3	5	14.0	15.3	-1.32	17.8	14.3	3.45
Doug Christie	84	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.47	0	-1	1	14.6	17.8	-3.22	15.7	12.7	3.00
Dee Brown	93	94	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	3	-7	14.8	22.0	-7.15	15.1	29.5	-14.41
Chauncey Billups	68	70	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.69	-2	1	-3	15.4	13.7	1.65	14.7	17.2	-2.43
Marcus Camby	73	73	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.49	-10	9	-19	15.8	11.9	3.89	14.9	16.9	-2.01
John Wallace	60	62	-1.13	0.63	-1.77	-0.78	-12	11	-23	14.4	15.8	-1.31	15.6	15.0	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.37,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.58,0	91.5%
ORL 96, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.64,0.76,0.74,0	90.7%
TOR 100, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.58,0	89.4%