inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 100 Excitement8.3 [194] MVPJason Terry (ATL): +15.6%
Atlanta Hawks 97 Comeback16.9 [39] LVPBob Sura (ATL): -29.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lamar Odom0.140,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.14,0.140.060.090.011270%0.252-0.11650%-0.04
Eddie Jones0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.070.07-0.02-0.021764%0.143-0.072100%0.01
Brian Grant0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.03-0.001352%0.0600.0010%-0.02
Rasual Butler0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.030.00570%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.03-0.080.100.001042%0.092-0.06450%-0.06
Rafer Alston0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.020.03-0.01-0.00856%0.0200.002100%0.04
Caron Butler-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.011242%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Udonis Haslem-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01633%-0.031-0.0200%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.160.160.110.050.001764%0.191-0.032100%0.01
Jason Collier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.010.00653%0.0000.00560%-0.01
Michael Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Travis Hansen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Crawford0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.011855%0.123-0.144100%0.03
Mamadou N'diaye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.0210%-0.031-0.0220%-0.02
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.0040%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.21-0.21-0.08-0.120.002350%-0.104-0.101292%-0.01
Bob Sura0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.29-0.29-0.06-0.24-0.01954%0.043-0.33887%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.425.515.422.52.638.2132.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +57.1%
ATL -24.8%
ATL -18.1%
MIA +34.0%
MIA +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game17.115.115.7111.1109.0100.5
season16.215.399.398.2
opponent15.515.9103.098.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.317.119.815.617.1
ATL15.615.615.513.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler59600.89-0.391.280.5113-102316.917.3-0.3715.713.81.97
Eddie Jones68690.77-0.271.040.3913-102317.017.3-0.3216.011.94.05
Brian Grant69690.77-0.271.040.4212-92117.416.01.4115.712.82.89
Rafer Alston56540.460.040.410.4603-316.817.5-0.7314.516.0-1.55
Dwyane Wade63610.200.30-0.110.31-47-1117.017.3-0.2614.915.5-0.65
Lamar Odom6666-0.090.59-0.670.00-36-917.316.40.9615.015.3-0.35
Rasual Butler2725-0.230.73-0.960.03-912-2117.317.00.3713.115.9-2.74
Udonis Haslem4241-0.270.77-1.03-0.06-710-1716.817.4-0.5914.016.0-2.07

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Hansen32310.14-0.640.790.140-3313.216.1-2.8715.817.8-1.99
Michael Bradley660.10-0.600.71-0.045-81311.515.3-3.8517.317.10.27
Jason Collier46460.02-0.520.54-0.042-5715.314.90.4418.315.82.51
Mamadou N'diaye89-0.09-0.410.330.06-52-717.514.92.6513.817.4-3.67
Jacque Vaughn1010-0.14-0.360.230.07-74-1118.414.73.7312.817.6-4.81
Bob Sura6972-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.431-4515.314.40.8917.714.63.08
Jason Terry7474-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.503-6915.015.7-0.7717.614.53.14
Chris Crawford6969-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.41-2-1-115.613.32.2417.216.60.60
Boris Diaw5455-0.520.02-0.55-0.41-41-514.416.1-1.6916.318.4-2.12
Stephen Jackson7778-0.730.23-0.96-0.50-85-1315.313.81.4517.116.70.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 84, NJN 820.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.77,0.59,092.6%
POR 81, PHI 790.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.79,0.9,0.47,092.4%
CLE 97, TOR 960.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.37,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.72,091.5%