NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	81		Excitement	8.5 [205]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +31.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	79		Comeback	12.5 [90]		LVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): -17.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.32	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.32	0.03	0.28	-0.01	13	55%	0.43	2	-0.11	7	86%	-0.05
Juan Dixon	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	13	57%	0.19	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.06
Travis Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.09	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Ime Udoka	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	67%	0.11	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.03	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	71%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	3	100%	0.21	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,0.09	0.09	-0.07	0.16	-0.00	9	41%	0.25	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	10	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.13	0.01	15	63%	0.01	5	-0.14	13	85%	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	6	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	0.01	4	40%	-0.12	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.16	0.00	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.20	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	33.6	15.5	28.6	3.3	36.9	147.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.3%

POR +10.4%

PHI -9.8%

POR +13.8%

PHI -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHI	NBA	POR	PHI	NBA
this game	16.8	15.9	15.4	92.0	89.8	104.5
season	16.7	15.5		103.1	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.2	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	14.8	20.0	16.9	16.8
PHI	17.7	14.0	13.6	19.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	48	48	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.52	4	-2	6	16.8	16.7	0.06	18.4	13.0	5.40
Jamaal Magloire	52	55	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-3	8	16.9	16.6	0.29	14.9	17.7	-2.85
Martell Webster	32	32	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-5	12	15.1	17.7	-2.61	14.8	16.6	-1.83
Juan Dixon	56	58	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.47	-1	3	-4	17.7	15.1	2.61	16.1	15.7	0.37
Dan Dickau	27	28	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-9	20	16.7	16.8	-0.06	19.6	14.2	5.43
Jarrett Jack	61	60	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.48	-9	11	-20	16.8	16.7	0.06	14.2	19.6	-5.43
Ime Udoka	55	54	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	3	-4	16.4	17.5	-1.12	16.3	15.4	0.87
LaMarcus Aldridge	24	22	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.06	3	-1	4	17.5	16.5	0.98	17.6	15.4	2.26
Joel Przybilla	25	23	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	1	0	16.3	17.0	-0.65	16.7	15.7	0.96
Sergio Rodriguez	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	2	-2	3.0	16.9	-13.94	0.0	16.1	-16.13
Travis Outlaw	45	44	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	4	-6	16.0	17.6	-1.51	15.2	16.7	-1.43
Raef LaFrentz	14	15	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.07	-8	10	-18	20.9	16.0	4.84	12.4	16.7	-4.27

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	73	73	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.18	16	-18	34	15.5	18.3	-2.88	16.9	16.1	0.86
Samuel Dalembert	45	47	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.05	10	-12	22	16.4	15.5	0.93	18.0	15.4	2.56
Lou Williams	19	20	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-5	8	13.7	16.6	-2.88	15.4	17.2	-1.79
Rodney Carney	31	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.16	-10	8	-18	15.9	16.0	-0.06	15.7	17.3	-1.58
Steven Hunter	26	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	12	-26	16.2	15.8	0.41	15.2	17.5	-2.25
Andre Iguodala	82	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.43	3	-5	8	16.0	15.7	0.30	16.7	17.2	-0.51
Willie Green	34	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	4	-10	16.2	15.8	0.48	17.2	16.5	0.74
Kyle Korver	69	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.51	0	-2	2	15.6	17.2	-1.55	16.8	16.6	0.19
Alan Henderson	18	18	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.50	-4	2	-6	15.5	16.1	-0.56	17.1	16.7	0.34
Kevin Ollie	43	43	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.42	-8	6	-14	17.6	14.4	3.25	17.1	16.5	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.79,0.9,0.47,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.58,0	92.4%
LAC 105, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.58,0	90.6%
NOH 84, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.77,0.59,0	90.0%