NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	9.8 [83]		MVP	Steve Blake (LAL): +71.7%
Houston Rockets	98		Comeback	30.4 [14]		LVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): -29.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.72	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.72	0.10	0.64	0.02	10	70%	0.72	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.16	-0.03	0.01	9	95%	0.24	1	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	12	46%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.11	2	0%	-0.05
Xavier Henry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Nash	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	11	46%	-0.08	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.18	-0.09	-0.04	10	10%	-0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24	-0.00	-0.24	0.00	15	50%	-0.10	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.08	0.01	11	62%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	24	55%	0.19	3	-0.09	16	87%	0.04
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.07	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.06
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.12	0.01	10	42%	-0.09	4	-0.16	16	31%	-0.27
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.29	-0.29	-0.12	-0.18	-0.01	10	15%	-0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	1.8	35.9	18.5	28.5	3.3	43.4	159.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +78.0%

HOU -7.2%

HOU -3.0%

HOU -28.9%

LAL +11.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	12.4	15.1	93.4	91.6	105.2
season	14.0	14.3		102.9	109.5
opponent	15.2	14.8		105.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.9	14.6	14.8	16.3	14.6
HOU	14.2	10.6	12.3	12.6	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	69	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-6	13	15.6	12.9	2.67	12.1	13.1	-0.96
Steve Blake	72	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.43	5	-4	9	15.5	12.9	2.62	12.3	12.6	-0.25
Chris Kaman	44	44	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-15	31	14.4	14.8	-0.38	13.3	11.8	1.56
Steve Nash	61	63	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	-8	17	15.1	14.0	1.14	12.3	12.5	-0.17
Jodie Meeks	58	58	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.46	-4	5	-9	14.6	14.7	-0.18	12.2	12.7	-0.47
Nick Young	48	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	-10	21	14.7	14.6	0.18	12.7	12.2	0.47
Wesley Johnson	62	63	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.60	-15	16	-31	14.8	14.4	0.38	11.8	13.3	-1.56
Jordan Farmar	45	44	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.17	-8	9	-17	14.0	15.1	-1.14	12.5	12.3	0.17
Jordan Hill	37	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	7	-13	12.9	15.6	-2.67	13.1	12.1	0.96
Xavier Henry	34	32	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.12	-10	11	-21	12.9	15.5	-2.62	12.6	12.3	0.25

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	45	45	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.14	9	-10	19	12.7	12.2	0.50	14.0	15.1	-1.06
Francisco Garcia	33	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-4	7	12.6	12.4	0.22	13.9	14.9	-1.04
Omer Asik	49	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.02	-10	9	-19	14.8	10.4	4.38	14.2	15.0	-0.72
Jeremy Lin	72	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.49	4	-5	9	11.5	14.4	-2.94	14.8	14.4	0.37
James Harden	98	97	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-3	5	12.3	13.3	-1.00	14.8	12.8	2.03
Dwight Howard	82	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	2	-5	12.0	13.8	-1.80	14.9	13.6	1.30
Chandler Parsons	82	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	2	-5	12.0	13.7	-1.70	14.8	14.1	0.71
Patrick Beverley	74	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.40	-7	6	-13	12.6	12.1	0.43	14.7	14.4	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.78,0.9,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 121, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.84,0	91.0%
MEM 71, CHA 69	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	89.7%
ORL 119, OKC 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.31,0.42,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.62,0.32,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.45,0.67,0.91,0	89.1%