NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	121		Excitement	8.5 [164]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +33.2%
Indiana Pacers	117		Comeback	10.4 [173]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -14.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.33	0.23	0.13	0.03	24	69%	0.42	2	-0.09	13	92%	0.05
Steve Nash	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.03,0.33	0.05	0.28	0.00	9	72%	0.42	3	-0.09	7	71%	0.02
Raja Bell	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.01	15	52%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	80%	0.15	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	15	41%	0.01	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	8	22%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.20	0.00	17	58%	0.31	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.11	-0.02	20	71%	0.37	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	46%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	52%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	4	100%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	19	47%	-0.07	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	32.4	15.5	26.4	2.3	29.4	134.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.1%

PHX +8.7%

IND -6.3%

PHX +2.5%

PHX +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	12.7	13.8	15.4	111.0	107.3	105.7
season	13.8	13.8		111.1	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.6		105.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.1	12.4	12.2	15.5	12.7
IND	13.3	13.8	13.5	14.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	81	80	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.32	15	-11	26	12.7	12.7	-0.06	14.2	12.4	1.78
Steve Nash	86	86	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.23	18	-14	32	13.0	11.3	1.79	14.1	12.3	1.78
Raja Bell	87	90	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.45	8	-4	12	12.4	13.5	-1.10	13.9	12.9	0.97
Shawn Marion	90	89	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-4	12	13.0	11.1	1.89	13.8	13.5	0.31
Grant Hill	81	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	2	0	12.9	11.9	1.05	13.7	14.1	-0.43
Leandro Barbosa	42	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	11	-18	11.6	13.4	-1.79	13.0	14.2	-1.23
Boris Diaw	38	37	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.12	-13	17	-30	11.9	13.1	-1.11	13.1	14.1	-1.06
Brian Skinner	40	40	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.03	-11	15	-26	12.9	12.5	0.40	13.1	14.1	-0.99

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	35	37	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-10	16	12.3	14.4	-2.16	12.5	12.8	-0.28
Kareem Rush	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-7	10	13.8	13.7	0.11	11.6	13.0	-1.44
Shawne Williams	52	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	13.1	14.3	-1.22	10.7	14.3	-3.59
Marquis Daniels	53	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.32	7	-11	18	13.6	13.9	-0.22	14.0	11.4	2.66
Jeff Foster	49	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.33	1	-5	6	14.7	13.0	1.64	14.6	10.9	3.61
Jamaal Tinsley	91	91	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-4	4	13.8	13.5	0.30	12.8	12.1	0.74
Mike Dunleavy	93	92	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	3	-10	14.1	11.5	2.64	12.8	11.9	0.86
Danny Granger	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	13	-30	13.3	14.6	-1.30	11.6	14.4	-2.80
Jermaine O'Neal	79	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.29	-10	6	-16	14.2	12.5	1.68	12.8	12.4	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.78,0.9,0.84,0	91.0%
MEM 71, CHA 69	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	90.0%
PHX 96, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.93,0.95,0.84,0	89.6%