NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	10.8 [42]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +37.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	7.0 [125]		LVP	Sergio Rodriguez (PHI): -22.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.49,0.37	0.07	0.30	0.00	20	55%	0.41	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.22
Jeff Teague	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	-0.02	0.08	-0.03	10	59%	0.20	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	19	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.08	0.02	7	69%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.35	0.35	-0.03	0.37	-0.02	18	50%	0.48	5	-0.13	14	86%	0.07
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.11	0.01	6	93%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.08	-0.03	7	78%	0.21	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	71%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	6	62%	0.05	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	12	46%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	4	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	28.5	15.4	25.3	2.5	40.4	2.4	16.6	156.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.3%

PHI +3.5%

PHI +58.2%

IND -48.6%

IND -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.8	99.1	100.9	107.7
season	14.9	14.5		107.5	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.8		107.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	14.4	13.5	15.0	16.3	17.9	15.0
PHI	13.8	15.3	13.8	15.7	15.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	41	42	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.03	14	-18	32	14.2	15.6	-1.40	15.3	14.3	1.01
Aaron Brooks	36	36	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.08	9	-13	22	15.0	15.1	-0.08	15.6	14.2	1.42
Kevin Seraphin	16	15	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-7	10	13.7	15.3	-1.51	17.0	14.3	2.68
Monta Ellis	70	70	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-6	8	15.7	13.8	1.85	15.1	14.0	1.07
CJ Miles	62	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.40	9	-13	22	13.6	17.1	-3.49	15.3	13.8	1.45
Myles Turner	42	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-1	-2	14.7	15.2	-0.56	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Al Jefferson	44	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-1	-2	15.8	14.5	1.27	14.3	15.0	-0.70
Jeff Teague	70	72	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.30	-13	9	-22	15.1	15.0	0.08	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Paul George	81	82	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.30	-17	13	-30	15.4	13.7	1.76	13.9	17.2	-3.24
Thaddeus Young	68	68	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.20	-21	17	-38	15.7	13.7	2.01	14.2	15.6	-1.44

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	82	81	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-8	20	14.8	14.5	0.31	15.1	14.9	0.14
Ersan Ilyasova	50	46	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.55	4	0	4	14.8	14.6	0.27	15.4	14.7	0.68
Sergio Rodriguez	68	68	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	1	2	15.0	14.2	0.71	15.2	14.7	0.50
Joel Embiid	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.31	3	1	2	14.8	14.6	0.24	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Gerald Henderson	59	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	-3	10	14.2	15.2	-1.01	15.1	15.0	0.09
Richaun Holmes	49	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	-2	8	14.4	14.9	-0.56	15.6	14.5	1.10
Nik Stauskas	49	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	7	-10	15.2	14.2	1.01	15.0	15.1	-0.09
TJ McConnell	40	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	3	-2	14.2	15.0	-0.71	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Jahlil Okafor	5	5	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	9	-14	16.4	14.6	1.79	14.0	15.1	-1.08
Dario Saric	58	60	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.17	0	4	-4	14.6	14.8	-0.27	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Hollis Thompson	26	25	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	12	-20	14.5	14.8	-0.31	14.9	15.1	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.34,0.13,0.53,0.71,0.68,0.9,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.84,0.96,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.33,0.73,1	89.8%
ORL 107, ATL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.33,0.15,1	88.0%
SEA 91, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.76,0.92,1	87.7%