NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	11.0 [29]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (SAS): +29.9%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	3.0 [534]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -27.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	45%	0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	21	45%	0.05	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	0.05	-0.15	0.02	15	53%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.3,-0.19	-0.02	-0.17	-0.00	19	52%	-0.03	4	-0.16	4	75%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.04	0.25	-0.00	8	56%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.02	0.04	6	69%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	10	32%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.08	0.03	22	58%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.12	0.02	12	42%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.02	-0.19	-0.00	6	42%	-0.10	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.18,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.24,-0.25,-0.36,-0.27	-0.27	-0.10	-0.20	-0.03	17	42%	-0.08	4	-0.19	6	50%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	23.6	15.4	23.6	2.3	31.4	1.8	15.6	138.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +23.4%

SAS +2.1%

SAS +21.1%

HOU -0.2%

SAS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	15.9	16.7	15.6	96.9	104.1	102.8
season	15.4	15.3		103.5	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.5		101.5	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	18.3	15.9	18.1	12.8	14.3	15.9
SAS	18.6	17.6	14.8	18.0	13.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	33	32	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.12	1	-7	8	15.5	16.1	-0.59	17.1	16.5	0.57
Chase Budinger	25	24	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-7	8	14.9	16.2	-1.33	16.9	16.7	0.22
Patrick Patterson	42	42	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.11	-2	-4	2	15.7	16.1	-0.38	16.7	16.7	-0.04
Chandler Parsons	60	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-2	-2	16.4	15.2	1.23	16.5	17.0	-0.47
Samuel Dalembert	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-7	8	17.2	15.1	2.15	17.6	16.1	1.51
Goran Dragic	59	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	14.8	17.6	-2.75	16.6	16.9	-0.31
Kevin Martin	82	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	2	-10	15.8	16.6	-0.78	16.6	17.2	-0.57
Kyle Lowry	81	81	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.39	-7	1	-8	16.0	15.4	0.67	16.5	17.9	-1.39
Luis Scola	69	69	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.50	-8	2	-10	16.4	14.8	1.63	16.6	16.9	-0.31

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	83	83	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-7	20	16.3	18.9	-2.59	16.1	14.7	1.47
Kawhi Leonard	70	70	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.26	13	-7	20	16.3	17.7	-1.32	16.0	15.8	0.17
Tim Duncan	70	69	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-2	10	16.8	16.4	0.47	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Richard Jefferson	70	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	3	0	16.5	17.4	-0.91	15.3	17.4	-2.07
Tiago Splitter	43	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	8	-10	17.3	16.2	1.10	16.3	15.6	0.74
DeJuan Blair	30	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	5	-4	16.7	16.7	-0.06	17.4	15.3	2.19
Danny Green	32	35	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	6	-6	17.2	16.5	0.71	14.2	16.8	-2.61
James Anderson	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	6	-6	14.4	16.9	-2.50	15.1	16.0	-0.85
Gary Neal	38	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	11	-16	17.6	16.2	1.38	16.5	15.5	1.05
Matt Bonner	40	42	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.15	-1	7	-8	17.0	16.5	0.58	16.0	15.8	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.84,0.96,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.33,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, PHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.34,0.13,0.53,0.71,0.68,0.9,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.42,1	89.8%
MIL 117, GSW 118	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.95,0.54,0.53,0.37,0.15,0.73,1	89.1%
ATL 83, NOH 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.31,0.83,1	89.1%