NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	85		Excitement	3.1 [1165]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (OKC): +7.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	97		Comeback	1.1 [1105]		LVP	Dion Waiters (MIA): -9.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	58%	0.09	3	-0.03	7	100%	0.01
Willie Reed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	92%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derrick Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	61%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	44%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Justise Winslow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	13	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Hassan Whiteside	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	0.01	8	28%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	9	11%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	9	77%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	0.00	0.08	12	86%	0.08	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	13	54%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.12	9	28%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	9	28%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.12	0.03	-0.07	16	40%	0.06	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.0	27.3	15.5	29.2	2.4	27.7	131.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +39.9%

OKC +2.6%

OKC +12.7%

MIA -5.9%

OKC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	OKC	NBA	MIA	OKC	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	14.8	90.4	105.4	107.7
season	15.4	14.0		106.7	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.5		106.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.6	16.7	17.2	13.8	15.8
OKC	15.7	16.0	12.1	16.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	51	47	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.24	11	-23	34	15.0	16.8	-1.84	15.9	14.3	1.67
James Johnson	50	50	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.40	15	-27	42	13.7	18.3	-4.66	15.9	14.2	1.62
Willie Reed	34	34	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.31	12	-24	36	13.7	17.0	-3.34	16.5	14.3	2.24
Derrick Williams	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	11.3	16.1	-4.81	17.6	14.9	2.65
Rodney McGruder	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	11.4	16.3	-4.86	16.0	15.0	0.99
Tyler Johnson	54	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.12	-1	-11	10	15.2	16.7	-1.54	15.5	14.7	0.79
Justise Winslow	62	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	4	-20	17.3	13.0	4.31	15.1	15.1	0.05
Goran Dragic	49	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.18	-23	11	-34	16.4	15.2	1.27	13.8	16.6	-2.83
Hassan Whiteside	60	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.16	-24	12	-36	17.0	13.7	3.34	14.3	16.5	-2.24
Luke Babbitt	44	42	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.25	-27	15	-42	18.3	13.7	4.66	14.2	15.9	-1.62
Dion Waiters	51	53	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	6	-24	16.3	15.3	1.03	14.8	15.6	-0.82

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	63	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-3	18	14.7	16.0	-1.24	16.3	14.7	1.61
Russell Westbrook	52	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.18	24	-12	36	13.7	17.0	-3.28	16.5	15.0	1.45
Andre Roberson	59	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-4	20	14.3	16.5	-2.22	16.1	15.4	0.63
Domantas Sabonis	57	57	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-2	16	15.1	15.2	-0.13	16.7	14.5	2.19
Steven Adams	56	58	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-6	24	14.0	16.9	-2.86	16.7	14.5	2.17
Enes Kanter	42	42	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	16	-20	15.8	14.5	1.27	13.9	17.4	-3.46
Joffrey Lauvergne	29	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	16	-20	16.4	14.5	1.84	15.3	16.1	-0.82
Jerami Grant	29	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	15	-18	16.3	14.6	1.79	16.0	15.8	0.23
Semaj Christon	40	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.33	-12	24	-36	17.0	13.7	3.28	15.0	16.5	-1.45
Alex Abrines	33	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	16	-20	16.2	14.5	1.70	14.3	16.7	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 70, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ATL 95, SAS 124	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 98, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%