NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	3.7 [1071]		MVP	Tyson Chandler (DAL): +12.2%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	1.0 [1111]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -9.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	87%	0.06	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	7	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	13	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	7	47%	-0.04	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	13	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	24	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Frazier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0.05	6	81%	0.03	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	59%	0.03	6	-0.12	7	86%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	-0.01	0.04	7	76%	0.12	0	0.00	15	80%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	-0.05	8	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	13	54%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	1.7	28.5	16.7	29.0	2.6	25.6	133.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +32.4%

DAL +10.0%

DAL +0.3%

DAL +5.6%

DAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	13.9	13.4	15.1	92.5	108.6	104.2
season	15.3	14.6		106.5	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.0	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.1	12.6	13.7	12.4	13.9
DAL	11.2	13.6	11.5	17.6	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Freeland	46	47	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.15	7	-23	30	14.0	13.8	0.17	15.1	11.9	3.22
Meyers Leonard	58	57	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-19	22	13.2	14.9	-1.70	14.2	12.4	1.80
Steve Blake	60	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-20	24	13.0	15.2	-2.21	14.0	12.6	1.40
Alonzo Gee	54	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-10	4	13.4	14.5	-1.13	13.2	13.6	-0.47
Tim Frazier	64	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-9	2	13.8	14.0	-0.20	14.6	11.6	2.99
Allen Crabbe	69	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.07	-16	0	-16	14.2	13.5	0.71	13.9	12.4	1.45
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	1	-18	14.8	12.4	2.37	11.9	15.9	-3.98
Damian Lillard	66	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.15	-21	5	-26	14.5	12.9	1.65	11.7	16.0	-4.27
Robin Lopez	47	46	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.22	-27	11	-38	14.3	13.7	0.59	12.0	14.4	-2.36

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	42	42	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.16	25	-9	34	11.6	14.6	-3.00	14.7	13.4	1.31
Tyson Chandler	56	56	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.17	23	-7	30	12.2	14.7	-2.40	14.6	13.2	1.37
Monta Ellis	62	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	-2	20	12.2	15.1	-2.95	14.9	12.5	2.34
Dirk Nowitzki	62	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	0	16	12.8	14.2	-1.34	14.1	13.7	0.38
Rajon Rondo	54	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	-2	20	12.3	14.5	-2.25	14.5	13.3	1.14
Al-Farouq Aminu	70	71	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	19	-22	13.3	13.5	-0.17	14.3	13.2	1.04
Raymond Felton	48	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	18	-20	14.8	12.2	2.62	12.7	15.0	-2.29
Jose Juan Barea	46	46	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	18	-20	14.8	12.3	2.55	13.3	14.4	-1.13
Dwight Powell	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	20.0	12.8	7.18	10.0	14.2	-4.24
Bernard James	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	22.2	12.5	9.68	10.0	14.3	-4.29
Amar'e Stoudemire	40	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	23	-30	12.9	13.6	-0.68	13.9	13.9	-0.04
Charlie Villanueva	28	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	23	-30	15.5	12.6	2.95	12.6	14.4	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, SAS 124	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
TOR 85, ORL 114	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIA 85, OKC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%