NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	95		Excitement	3.3 [1097]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +13.2%
San Antonio Spurs	124		Comeback	1.0 [1246]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -10.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	13	73%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Chris Crawford	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.05	11	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	6	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.00	9	41%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	5	14%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.03	0.06	-0.10	18	54%	0.14	2	-0.01	12	83%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.04	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	6	79%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.12	-0.00	0.11	6	89%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.14	0.00	0.14	5	120%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.02	3	-0.05	10	100%	0.04
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.8	26.2	16.4	28.6	2.0	24.3	127.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +19.8%

SAS +11.3%

SAS +14.5%

SAS +2.6%

SAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAS	NBA	ATL	SAS	NBA
this game	13.8	15.8	15.5	97.9	126.5	100.9
season	15.4	15.9		96.0	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.1		96.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.4	12.2	15.0	14.6	13.8
SAS	14.2	16.1	14.4	18.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	30	31	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-27	25	13.8	13.7	0.12	17.6	14.9	2.64
Nazr Mohammed	48	48	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-31	33	13.7	13.8	-0.09	14.5	17.0	-2.42
Cal Bowdler	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-24	19	15.7	13.5	2.17	17.0	15.6	1.36
Pepe Sanchez	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.17	-7	-22	15	14.6	13.4	1.20	17.9	14.9	2.96
DerMarr Johnson	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.14	-6	-23	17	13.0	14.2	-1.24	18.5	14.2	4.26
Hanno Mottola	53	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.23	-11	-18	7	14.2	13.2	0.96	15.0	16.8	-1.77
Chris Crawford	43	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-22	15	12.7	14.6	-1.94	16.4	15.3	1.15
Toni Kukoc	53	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-22	15	14.1	13.4	0.67	14.7	17.0	-2.31
Brevin Knight	69	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.18	-22	-7	-15	13.4	14.6	-1.20	14.9	17.9	-2.96
Alan Henderson	28	28	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.23	-25	-4	-21	13.2	14.0	-0.76	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Lorenzen Wright	39	40	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.25	-26	-3	-23	13.3	14.1	-0.74	16.9	15.0	1.98
Jason Terry	48	49	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.29	-29	0	-29	14.7	12.8	1.97	14.3	17.3	-3.02

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	49	50	0.68	-0.18	0.85	-0.29	33	-4	37	14.8	16.8	-2.00	14.2	13.3	0.92
Danny Ferry	59	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.14	23	6	17	15.3	16.6	-1.31	13.4	14.3	-0.93
Derek Anderson	50	50	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.17	20	9	11	14.5	17.1	-2.69	14.3	13.2	1.13
Tim Duncan	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.26	23	6	17	15.5	16.5	-0.97	13.5	14.5	-0.97
Terry Porter	39	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	18	-7	15.3	16.1	-0.86	12.9	14.3	-1.43
Avery Johnson	55	53	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.40	21	8	13	16.1	15.3	0.84	14.7	12.6	2.17
Antonio Daniels	54	54	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.18	7	22	-15	16.6	14.8	1.82	12.9	14.8	-1.95
Jaren Jackson	15	14	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	30	-31	14.8	16.0	-1.15	14.0	13.7	0.29
Derrick Dial	22	21	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.17	6	23	-17	18.8	14.9	3.92	14.6	13.5	1.05
Steve Kerr	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	17.6	15.4	2.26	14.3	13.6	0.66
Samaki Walker	59	57	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	29	-29	16.4	14.8	1.54	13.5	14.0	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 68, NJN 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
BKN 97, UTA 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
POR 98, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%