NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	6.7 [502]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +16.7%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	1.1 [850]		LVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): -23.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Delaney	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	56%	0.11	4	-0.13	12	50%	-0.07
Kris Humphries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	16	50%	0.04	4	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	14	42%	-0.06	3	-0.07	10	50%	-0.07
Kent Bazemore	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	7	0%	-0.15	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24	-0.17	-0.09	-0.02	9	17%	-0.16	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.13	-0.02	16	61%	0.27	5	-0.10	14	93%	0.08
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	17	50%	0.10	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	13	51%	0.10	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.02
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	33.2	14.8	32.5	2.0	42.0	152.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +17.4%

WAS +23.3%

WAS +0.9%

WAS +0.8%

WAS +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	12.8	14.4	14.8	87.6	88.8	107.7
season	14.4	14.4		104.2	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.9		108.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.0	14.4	11.4	12.5	12.8
WAS	14.2	12.4	13.0	18.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	48	51	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.52	19	-22	41	11.6	13.8	-2.28	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Malcolm Delaney	32	33	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-5	7	13.4	12.5	0.83	14.8	14.1	0.71
Thabo Sefolosha	58	58	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.21	6	-9	15	12.5	13.2	-0.75	15.4	13.1	2.35
Kyle Korver	46	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-3	3	12.9	12.7	0.20	12.7	15.7	-3.02
Kris Humphries	13	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	5	-13	13.9	12.6	1.28	12.5	14.6	-2.16
Dwight Howard	63	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	6	-15	13.5	11.7	1.85	15.0	13.5	1.45
Kent Bazemore	56	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	1	-5	13.1	12.5	0.58	14.9	13.7	1.17
Tim Hardaway Jr.	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-2	1	12.6	13.1	-0.58	15.3	13.1	2.22
Dennis Schroder	73	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	2	-7	12.5	13.4	-0.83	14.1	14.8	-0.71
Paul Millsap	75	75	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.31	-15	12	-27	13.0	12.4	0.56	13.3	16.9	-3.68

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	74	72	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-12	27	13.7	15.7	-1.98	13.5	11.4	2.09
Bradley Beal	89	87	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-1	5	14.0	16.2	-2.24	12.8	12.9	-0.17
Otto Porter	85	84	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	4	-5	14.5	13.9	0.56	12.6	13.5	-0.90
John Wall	76	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.33	2	1	1	14.0	15.2	-1.18	12.7	12.9	-0.20
Jason Smith	30	31	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	-8	19	14.2	14.4	-0.26	13.6	12.5	1.15
Marcin Gortat	68	69	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.28	-5	8	-13	14.6	13.9	0.76	12.3	13.7	-1.45
Marcus Thornton	36	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	5	-7	15.1	14.0	1.14	12.8	12.8	-0.07
Trey Burke	14	14	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	1	1	15.9	14.1	1.73	13.4	12.7	0.73
Tomas Satoransky	48	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	6	-9	14.2	14.5	-0.23	12.5	13.0	-0.53
Andrew Nicholson	15	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.14	-8	11	-19	17.0	13.9	3.08	12.1	12.9	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.97,0.96,1	93.2%
NYK 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	93.2%
CHA 98, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.67,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.1%