NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	92		Excitement	3.8 [1088]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +11.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	108		Comeback	1.1 [995]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -10.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.17	-0.00	0.08	9	100%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	13	53%	0.05	3	-0.03	6	50%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	60%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	15	37%	-0.02	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.02	19	59%	0.13	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	10	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	15	55%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Bryce Cotton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Munford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	10	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	10	27%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	26.4	15.4	23.5	2.5	34.7	128.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +20.1%

MEM +8.6%

MEM +7.0%

MEM +10.3%

MEM +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.4	16.0	14.9	97.9	113.7	105.1
season	14.8	15.7		103.7	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.7	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.8	16.6	14.7	11.9	14.4
MEM	15.8	14.7	17.3	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cristiano Felicio	31	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-18	20	13.0	15.2	-2.21	15.4	16.3	-0.92
Mike Dunleavy	33	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-12	8	16.9	13.1	3.84	16.7	15.6	1.04
Doug McDermott	51	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-13	10	12.7	16.5	-3.85	16.1	16.0	0.08
Aaron Brooks	26	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.16	-12	-4	-8	13.6	14.8	-1.20	15.2	16.3	-1.17
Justin Holiday	35	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-9	2	13.7	14.9	-1.21	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Bobby Portis	33	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.00	-7	-9	2	16.8	13.2	3.56	17.2	15.3	1.82
Nikola Mirotic	61	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	13.2	16.8	-3.56	15.3	17.2	-1.82
Derrick Rose	67	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-10	4	14.8	13.6	1.15	16.5	14.8	1.72
Pau Gasol	66	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	6	-28	15.1	13.0	2.06	16.1	15.8	0.24
Jimmy Butler	67	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-4	-8	15.0	13.0	2.08	16.0	16.0	0.08

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	57	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	9	-2	16.1	16.0	0.08	15.7	12.5	3.20
Matt Barnes	80	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	8	0	16.3	14.5	1.77	14.5	14.2	0.29
JaMychal Green	50	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	9	-2	15.6	16.5	-0.97	14.1	14.9	-0.83
Jordan Farmar	59	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.02	10	6	4	16.5	15.3	1.20	15.4	13.0	2.39
Zach Randolph	69	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	9	-2	16.6	14.4	2.25	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Vince Carter	53	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.40	23	-7	30	15.6	16.6	-1.03	12.8	16.3	-3.43
Jarell Martin	27	28	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	10	-4	14.8	16.5	-1.74	14.5	14.4	0.02
Chris Andersen	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.17	12	4	8	17.2	15.1	2.02	15.4	13.7	1.76
Xavier Munford	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	12	-8	15.0	16.7	-1.67	12.8	15.5	-2.69
Bryce Cotton	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	5.0	16.1	-11.14	15.0	14.4	0.56
Ryan Hollins	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	5.0	16.1	-11.14	15.0	14.4	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, UTA 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CLE 93, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DEN 77, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1	96.2%