inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 93 Excitement3.3 [1135] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +11.1%
San Antonio Spurs 101 Comeback1.4 [980] LVPBruce Bowen (SAS): -6.7%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00972%0.083-0.06786%0.01
Kedrick Brown0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Ira Newble-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.02-0.02250%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Dajuan Wagner-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05667%-0.0000.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04633%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Lee Nailon-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.011160%-0.002-0.003100%0.00
Tony Battie-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.04570%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Kevin Ollie-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.03540%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Mateen Cleaves-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.050,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.01952%-0.012-0.043100%0.01
LeBron James-0.050,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.012045%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Eric Williams-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01350%0.003-0.062100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.00-0.041562%0.111-0.00450%-0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.001460%0.072-0.0220%-0.03
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.02-0.00-0.05667%0.063-0.0200%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00-0.03460%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02650%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.011064%0.073-0.052100%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.02-0.02850%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,00.000.050.000.042117%0.011-0.002100%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.05825%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01633%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.01729%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.528.716.723.22.624.6122.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +34.1%
CLE -10.5%
SAS +18.1%
SAS +8.4%
CLE -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLESASNBACLESASNBA
this game16.015.815.7103.3111.0100.5
season15.715.999.8100.1
opponent15.815.592.7102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.015.916.116.116.0
SAS12.817.615.218.115.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dajuan Wagner2121-0.01-0.490.48-0.3913-213416.116.00.1718.115.13.03
DeSagana Diop2524-0.04-0.460.43-0.278-162415.316.3-0.9617.715.12.52
Kedrick Brown1515-0.09-0.410.320.06-5-3-215.916.0-0.0912.316.5-4.25
Kevin Ollie5759-0.11-0.390.27-0.358-162416.115.80.3515.915.60.29
Lee Nailon3636-0.21-0.290.08-0.303-111415.916.1-0.2517.314.92.42
Eric Williams3839-0.24-0.260.01-0.01-80-816.116.00.1216.115.60.46
Carlos Boozer4848-0.25-0.25-0.010.01-91-1016.715.31.4015.516.2-0.66
Tony Battie4040-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.23-1-7616.016.0-0.0716.715.11.54
Ira Newble2224-0.27-0.23-0.030.08-124-1617.915.42.5114.516.3-1.73
Mateen Cleaves2525-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-102-1214.816.5-1.7317.215.31.86
LeBron James6262-0.36-0.14-0.220.05-146-2015.616.9-1.2314.917.9-3.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6162-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.00-135-1815.916.2-0.2914.618.3-3.67

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hedo Turkoglu52540.350.150.19-0.1216-82415.416.4-1.0016.215.70.53
Manu Ginobili48460.330.170.160.0980816.015.60.4016.215.90.29
Bruce Bowen63620.310.190.120.1753215.317.1-1.8215.816.5-0.71
Robert Horry39360.310.190.120.34-19-1017.414.72.7117.415.12.34
Tony Parker58570.280.220.05-0.1113-51814.218.7-4.5215.616.7-1.13
Tim Duncan52530.270.230.040.0671615.016.9-1.8517.513.83.69
Jason Hart33330.220.28-0.050.37-513-1818.714.24.5216.715.61.13
Rasho Nesterovic47480.220.28-0.05-0.1011-31415.016.7-1.6415.816.3-0.51
Malik Rose23240.100.40-0.29-0.1071614.716.2-1.5513.317.0-3.65
Kevin Willis21190.090.41-0.310.33-816-2418.015.22.7813.116.8-3.68
Devin Brown19180.010.49-0.470.39-1321-3418.415.13.2315.816.1-0.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 98, POR 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,196.4%
BOS 101, SAC 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,1,1,196.3%
CHI 92, MEM 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.2%