NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	90		Excitement	4.1 [1010]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +11.6%
Toronto Raptors	96		Comeback	1.1 [1017]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -10.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	11	70%	0.10	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	11	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	64%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	11	46%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	16	31%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.03	-0.03	19	52%	0.14	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.04
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	6	79%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	63%	0.08	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	16	60%	0.03	4	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	29.2	14.0	27.0	1.6	40.4	138.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +35.5%

TOR +10.4%

TOR +8.1%

CHA -3.8%

CHA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.3	16.3	14.9	98.9	105.5	105.1
season	15.1	16.1		105.5	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.8		104.6	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.8	16.0	15.7	13.1	15.3
TOR	16.7	16.0	16.4	16.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	35	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-11	16	17.0	14.3	2.76	16.0	16.5	-0.47
Al Jefferson	38	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-4	2	16.8	14.3	2.51	15.4	16.9	-1.45
Cody Zeller	37	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-9	12	13.6	16.5	-2.97	17.3	15.6	1.73
Marvin Williams	60	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.38	7	-13	20	15.1	15.7	-0.58	16.3	16.4	-0.19
Spencer Hawes	16	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	1	-8	15.9	15.2	0.74	15.9	16.4	-0.54
Frank Kaminsky	55	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-1	-4	16.2	14.0	2.15	16.3	16.3	-0.01
Jeremy Lin	78	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-4	2	14.9	17.9	-3.03	16.2	16.8	-0.55
Courtney Lee	68	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	7	-20	14.9	16.7	-1.89	16.6	15.6	0.96
Kemba Walker	68	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.09	-16	10	-26	14.9	16.6	-1.65	16.4	16.1	0.26

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	67	68	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-10	26	16.4	16.1	0.26	14.9	16.6	-1.65
Jonas Valanciunas	53	55	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	-9	24	17.3	15.0	2.26	14.6	16.4	-1.84
Kyle Lowry	76	76	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	7	-8	16.7	14.6	2.06	15.4	14.9	0.55
Cory Joseph	48	48	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.37	-4	10	-14	15.8	16.9	-1.03	14.1	16.7	-2.68
Norman Powell	43	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	-1	8	16.3	16.3	0.06	16.1	14.6	1.49
Jason Thompson	9	10	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	-2	10	14.8	16.5	-1.71	14.1	15.5	-1.38
Luis Scola	28	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	-2	10	16.7	16.1	0.62	15.9	15.1	0.76
Terrence Ross	39	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	9	-12	16.1	16.5	-0.38	16.6	14.4	2.19
Bismack Biyombo	38	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.36	-9	15	-24	15.0	17.3	-2.26	16.4	14.6	1.84
Patrick Patterson	54	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.30	-7	13	-20	16.4	16.3	0.08	15.3	15.4	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	96.3%
PHX 92, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.8%
ORL 110, TOR 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%